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Western Alamance Warriors (10-8)

Region: NC 3A/2AState: NCCoach: James Perry

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/29at Bishop McGuinness (7-8)NC 3A/2A75.0W8- 2 0.175  
3/11EAST CHAPEL HILL (18-5)NC 4A90.74L3-15 -0.050  
3/12at NorthEast Guilford (2-15)NC 3A/2A63.4W19- 2 0.000  
3/14at Eastern Guilford (2-13)NC 3A/2A67.7W17- 3 0.000  
3/17SOUTHWEST GUILFORD (13-8)NC 3A/2A75.5W7- 5 0.125  
3/20WESTERN GUILFORD (13-4)NC 3A/2A86.9L5-12 -0.150  
4/01RAGSDALE-JAMESTOWN (7-12)NC 3A/2A71.9W8- 7 0.075  
4/10at R.J. Reynolds (9-8)NC 4A80.0L9-13 -0.175  
4/15at Hillsborough Orange (1-13)NC 3A/2A67.0W10- 3 0.025  
4/16GREENSBORO GRIMSLEY (12-7)NC 4A86.8L11-16 -0.150  
4/18at Carrboro (3-13)NC 3A/2A68.2W17- 4 0.075  
4/21at SouthEast Guilford (15-5)NC 3A/2A81.6L8- 9 -0.175  
4/23at Western Guilford (13-4)NC 3A/2A86.9L9-10ot-0.075  
4/25EASTERN GUILFORD (2-13)NC 3A/2A67.7W20- 3 0.000  
4/30NORTHEAST GUILFORD (2-15)NC 3A/2A63.4W19- 4 0.000  
5/01at Greensboro Page (13-3)NC 4A89.75L0-11 0.000  
5/06TRITON (7-9)NC 3A/2A74.7W6- 5 0.125  
5/09at Cardinal Gibbons (16-5)NC 3A/2A87.89L5-12 -0.075  
 79.2     -0.25  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/29ABishop McGuinness8-26   3       +1.35       3.32
3/11HEast Chapel Hill3-15-12   -8       –-1.35       -3.95
3/12ANorthEast Guilford19-217   14       +1.35       3.03
3/14AEastern Guilford17-314   11       +1.35       3.12
3/17HSouthWest Guilford7-52   5       –-1.35       -3.29
3/20HWestern Guilford5-12-7   -4       –-1.35       -3.00
4/01HRagsdale-Jamestown8-71   7       –––-1.35       -6.43
4/10AR.J. Reynolds9-13-4   -3       1.35       -1.34
4/15AHillsborough Orange10-37   9       1.35       -1.60
4/16HGreensboro Grimsley11-16-5   -4       -1.35       -0.77
4/18ACarrboro17-413   7       ++1.35       6.00
4/21ASouthEast Guilford8-9-1   -3       1.35       1.77
4/23AWestern Guilford9-10-1   -7       ++1.35       5.69
4/25HEastern Guilford20-317   14       +-1.35       3.43
4/30HNorthEast Guilford19-415   17       -1.35       -1.66
5/01AGreensboro Page0-11-11   -11       1.35       0.03
5/06HTriton6-51   5       ––-1.35       -4.44
5/09ACardinal Gibbons5-12-7   -7       1.35       0.10
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/11HEast Chapel Hill3-152.00
3/12ANorthEast Guilford19-2-3.03
3/14AEastern Guilford17-3-3.12
4/18ACarrboro17-4-3.00
4/25HEastern Guilford20-3-3.43
4/30HNorthEast Guilford19-41.66
5/01AGreensboro Page0-11-0.03
10-goal correction: -0.50

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 79.   Natl CCR Rank 1914
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 78.77   Natl Power Rank 1914
Natl SOS Rating 66.66   Natl SOS Rank 1816
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.25   Natl Quality Win Rank 1926
W-L Pct Rating 0.56   W-L Pct Rank 1147
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -11.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-7   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -6.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -5.7



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