| Region: NY A Sec 5 | State: NY | Coach: Matt Petz |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
4/02 | vs. Canandaigua # (23-1) | NY A Sec 5 | 99.1 | 1 | L | 3- | 5 | | -0.175 |
4/05 | at Irondequoit (17-3) | NY A Sec 5 | 97.8 | 2 | L | 6- | 13 | | -0.150 |
4/08 | vs. Churchville-Chili # (10-7) | NY A Sec 5 | 91.3 | | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.100 |
4/10 | at Penfield (17-2) | NY A Sec 5 | 97.7 | 3 | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.125 |
4/15 | vs. Penn Yan # (14-8) | NY C Sec 5 | 95.1 | 6 | L | 7- | 8 | 2ot | -0.225 |
4/19 | at Amherst (13-5) | NY B Sec 6 | 96.3 | | W | 10- | 9 | ot | 0.325 |
4/24 | vs. Rush-Henrietta # (3-14) | NY A Sec 5 | 87.2 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.050 |
4/29 | at Fairport (9-9) | NY A Sec 5 | 93.5 | 8 | W | 13- | 4 | | 0.250 |
5/06 | PITTSFORD (9-9) | NY A Sec 5 | 92.3 | 10 | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.100 |
5/08 | IRONDEQUOIT (17-3) | NY A Sec 5 | 97.8 | 2 | L | 6- | 10 | | -0.225 |
5/10 | at Hamburg (21-2) | NY B Sec 6 | 98.6 | | L | 15- | 16 | | -0.125 |
5/15 | PENFIELD (17-2) | NY A Sec 5 | 97.7 | 3 | L | 5- | 6 | | -0.200 |
5/17 | at Pittsford (9-9) | NY A Sec 5 | 92.3 | 10 | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.175 |
5/20 | at Rush-Henrietta (3-14) | NY A Sec 5 | 87.2 | | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.075 |
5/22 | FAIRPORT (9-9) | NY A Sec 5 | 93.5 | 8 | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.175 |
5/24 | vs. Webster Thomas # (14-5) | NY A Sec 5 | 95.6 | 4 | L | 3- | 10 | | -0.275 |
5/27 | BROCKPORT CENTRAL (9-8) | NY A Sec 5 | 87.9 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/30 | at Penfield (17-2) | NY A Sec 5 | 97.7 | 3 | L | 5- | 6 | ot | -0.125 |
| # Neutral site | | 94.1 | | | | | | -0.38 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/02 | N | Canandaigua | 3- | 5 | -2 | -3 | | 0.00 | 0.58 | |
4/05 | A | Irondequoit | 6- | 13 | -7 | -4 | – | 1.49 | -3.15 | |
4/08 | N | Churchville-Chili | 8- | 6 | 2 | 6 | –– | 0.00 | -4.03 | |
4/10 | A | Penfield | 6- | 8 | -2 | -5 | + | 1.49 | 2.88 | |
4/15 | N | Penn Yan | 7- | 8 | -1 | -1 | | 0.00 | -0.46 | |
4/19 | A | Amherst | 10- | 9 | 1 | -3 | + | 1.19 | | 3.77 |
4/24 | N | Rush-Henrietta | 10- | 3 | 7 | 8 | | 0.00 | -1.47 | |
4/29 | A | Fairport | 13- | 4 | 9 | 0 | +++ | 1.49 | 9.17 | |
5/06 | H | Pittsford | 9- | 5 | 4 | 6 | – | -1.49 | -2.07 | |
5/08 | H | Irondequoit | 6- | 10 | -4 | -1 | – | -1.49 | -3.13 | |
5/10 | A | Hamburg | 15- | 16 | -1 | -5 | ++ | 1.19 | | 4.05 |
5/15 | H | Penfield | 5- | 6 | -1 | -2 | | -1.49 | 0.91 | |
5/17 | A | Pittsford | 7- | 6 | 1 | 3 | – | 1.49 | -2.09 | |
5/20 | A | Rush-Henrietta | 15- | 4 | 11 | 7 | ++ | 1.49 | 4.02 | |
5/22 | H | Fairport | 8- | 6 | 2 | 3 | | -1.49 | -0.81 | |
5/24 | N | Webster Thomas | 3- | 10 | -7 | 1 | ––– | 0.00 | -7.60 | |
5/27 | H | Brockport Central | 16- | 2 | 14 | 11 | + | -1.49 | 3.37 | |
5/30 | A | Penfield | 5- | 6 | -1 | -5 | + | 1.49 | 3.88 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 7.82 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
5/20 | A | Rush-Henrietta | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
5/27 | H | Brockport Central | 16- | 2 | -3.37 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.24 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 95. | | Natl CCR Rank | 286 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 94.74 | | Natl Power Rank | 286 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 95.92 | | Natl SOS Rank | 18 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.38 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2158 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.50 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1366 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -0.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 8-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 1.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.0 |
| 
