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Wellington School Jaguars (8-6)

Region: OH 2 Reg 3

State: OH

Coach: Gordon Hight

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	at Columbus St Charles (6-10)	OH 1 Reg 2	90.4		L	0-	8		-0.075
4/12	PERRYSBURG (5-12)	OH 2 Reg 1	81.1		W	7-	3		0.125
4/18	GREEN-AKRON (8-10)	OH 2 Reg 2	81.6		W	8-	2		0.125
4/22	at Johnstown (5-11)	OH 2 Reg 3	78.4		W	16-	0		0.075
4/23	at Bexley (1-9)	OH 2 Reg 3	76.5		W	12-	4		0.050
4/28	WATTERSON (4-14)	OH 2 Reg 3	81.9		W	5-	4	ot	0.175
5/02	COLUMBUS DE SALES (8-6)	OH 2 Reg 3	84.2		W	8-	4		0.200
5/05	GRANVILLE (14-4)	OH 2 Reg 3	88.5	5	L	6-	9		-0.175
5/07	OLENTANGY HS (15-3)	OH 1 Reg 1	94.8		L	2-	9		-0.025
5/12	GAHANNA-LINCOLN (9-10)	OH 2 Reg 3	83.0		W	12-	7		0.125
5/13	NEW ALBANY (8-9)	OH 2 Reg 3	85.7		L	2-	8		-0.225
5/14	WESTERVILLE CENTRAL (8-8)	OH 1 Reg 2	86.3		W	6-	5		0.250
5/16	MARIEMONT (13-6)	OH 2 Reg 4	90.6	2	L	1-	10		-0.075
5/27	WATTERSON (4-14)	OH 2 Reg 3	81.9		L	4-	5		-0.325
			81.3						0.23

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	A	Columbus St Charles	0-	8	-8	-7		1.51		-0.59
4/12	H	Perrysburg	7-	3	4	5		-1.74	-1.35
4/18	H	Green-Akron	8-	2	6	5		-1.74	1.20
4/22	A	Johnstown	16-	0	16	7	+++	1.74	9.45
4/23	A	Bexley	12-	4	8	8		1.74	0.01
4/28	H	Watterson	5-	4	1	3		-1.74	-1.58
5/02	H	Columbus De Sales	8-	4	4	2	+	-1.74	2.45
5/05	H	Granville	6-	9	-3	-3		-1.74	0.26
5/07	H	Olentangy HS	2-	9	-7	-9		-1.51		1.81
5/12	H	Gahanna-Lincoln	12-	7	5	5		-1.74	-0.02
5/13	H	New Albany	2-	8	-6	-1	––	-1.74	-4.57
5/14	H	Westerville Central	6-	5	1	0		-1.51		1.33
5/16	H	Mariemont	1-	10	-9	-7	–	-1.74	-2.25
5/27	H	Watterson	4-	5	-1	3	–	-1.74	-3.58
									0.00	2.55

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/22	A	Johnstown	16-	0	-6.00
10-goal correction: -0.43

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1374
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.47		Natl Power Rank	1374
Natl SOS Rating	69.66		Natl SOS Rank	1509
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.23		Natl Quality Win Rank	966
W-L Pct Rating	0.57		W-L Pct Rank	1067
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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