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West Morris Central Wolfpack (17-4)

Conference: Fitch

Region: NJ Grp-II

State: NJ

Coach: Rob Goodwin

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	at Voorhees (6-14)	NJ Grp-II	89.3		W	14-	6		0.025
4/03	CHATHAM (19-2)	NJ Grp-I	98.8	4	L	6-	14		-0.175
4/08	HOPEWELL VALLEY (5-11)	NJ Grp-II	90.7		W	12-	3		0.000
4/11	at Westfield (3-16)	NJ Grp-III	89.8		W	13-	7		0.075
4/15	at Seton Hall Prep (13-4)	NJ Grp-A	97.6		W	11-	6		0.200
4/17	at Watchung Hills (5-12)	NJ Grp-IV	93.1		W	16-	4		0.125
4/19	MORRIS HILLS (6-13)	NJ Grp-II	82.7		W	17-	3		0.000
4/22	SUMMIT (15-6)	NJ Grp-I	97.8	10	L	5-	6		-0.300
4/25	COLUMBIA (10-9)	NJ Grp-IV	96.1		W	10-	3		0.100
4/26	HANOVER PARK (5-13)	NJ Grp-III	90.6		W	17-	5		0.000
4/29	at West Essex Regional (8-8)	NJ Grp-I	96.4		W	13-	7		0.175
5/03	MENDHAM (10-6)	NJ Grp-II	97.3		W	5-	4		0.175
5/06	ROXBURY (12-7)	NJ Grp-III	91.9		W	13-	5		0.000
5/08	at Madison Boro (14-5)	NJ Grp-I	98.0	8	L	7-	8		-0.200
5/14	RANDOLPH (6-11)	NJ Grp-III	93.8		W	16-	3		0.075
5/16	MADISON BORO (14-5)	NJ Grp-I	98.0	8	W	7-	6		0.225
5/19	at Morristown Beard (13-7)	NJ Grp-B	97.7		W	9-	7		0.225
5/21	MILLBURN (8-11)	NJ Grp-II	86.8		W	16-	5		0.000
5/24	WEST WINDSOR-PB NO (12-6)	NJ Grp-II	95.4		W	7-	3		0.050
5/27	JEFFERSON TWP (18-4)	NJ Grp-II	97.4		W	17-	8		0.125
5/30	vs. Moorestown # (14-8)	NJ Grp-II	97.7		L	8-	9		-0.275
# Neutral site			85.9						0.62

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	A	Voorhees	14-	6	8	9		1.37	-1.32
4/03	H	Chatham	6-	14	-8	-3	––	-1.37	-4.87
4/08	H	Hopewell Valley	12-	3	9	10		-1.37	-1.30
4/11	A	Westfield	13-	7	6	7		1.37	-1.31
4/15	A	Seton Hall Prep	11-	6	5	2	+	1.37	3.49
4/17	A	Watchung Hills	16-	4	12	5	+++	1.37	7.13
4/19	H	Morris Hills	17-	3	14	16		-1.37	-1.77
4/22	H	Summit	5-	6	-1	2	–	-1.37	-3.07
4/25	H	Columbia	10-	3	7	6		-1.37	1.26
4/26	H	Hanover Park	17-	5	12	11		-1.37	1.13
4/29	A	West Essex Regional	13-	7	6	3	+	1.37	3.41
5/03	H	Mendham	5-	4	1	3	–	-1.37	-2.27
5/06	H	Roxbury	13-	5	8	11	–	-1.37	-3.01
5/08	A	Madison Boro	7-	8	-1	-2		1.37	0.72
5/14	H	Randolph	16-	3	13	7	++	-1.37	5.96
5/16	H	Madison Boro	7-	6	1	1		-1.37	-0.02
5/19	A	Morristown Beard	9-	7	2	1		1.37	1.12
5/21	H	Millburn	16-	5	11	15	–	-1.37	-3.59
5/24	H	West Windsor-PB No	7-	3	4	8	–	-1.37	-3.99
5/27	H	Jefferson Twp	17-	8	9	5	++	-1.37	4.39
5/30	N	Moorestown	8-	9	-1	1	–	0.00	-2.09
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/17	A	Watchung Hills	16-	4	-2.00
4/19	H	Morris Hills	17-	3	1.77
4/26	H	Hanover Park	17-	5	-1.13
5/14	H	Randolph	16-	3	-3.00
5/21	H	Millburn	16-	5	3.59
10-goal correction: -0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	98.		Natl CCR Rank	73
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	97.92		Natl Power Rank	66
Natl SOS Rating	78.23		Natl SOS Rank	647
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.62		Natl Quality Win Rank	504
W-L Pct Rating	0.81		W-L Pct Rank	254
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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