| Region: VA Patriot | State: VA | Coach: Patrick Carmack |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/13 | A | Mount Vernon | 4- | 10 | -6 | -6 | | 1.02 | -0.32 | |
3/17 | H | Herndon | 1- | 5 | -4 | -5 | | -1.02 | 0.88 | |
3/17 | H | Southlake Carroll | 1- | 11 | -10 | -2 | | -1.33 | | -8.43 |
3/26 | H | Washington-Lee | 2- | 6 | -4 | -3 | | -1.02 | -1.46 | |
3/28 | A | West Springfield | 1- | 11 | -10 | -12 | + | 1.02 | 2.07 | |
4/11 | H | Lake Braddock | 4- | 9 | -5 | -9 | ++ | -1.02 | 4.32 | |
4/15 | H | T.C. Williams | 6- | 11 | -5 | 0 | | -1.02 | -4.86 | |
4/18 | A | Robert E Lee | 6- | 5 | 1 | -1 | + | 1.02 | 2.38 | |
4/23 | A | South County | 2- | 15 | -13 | -11 | | 1.02 | -2.44 | |
4/24 | A | Annandale | 3- | 14 | -11 | -13 | | 1.02 | 1.95 | |
4/26 | H | Hayfield | 3- | 14 | -11 | -8 | | -1.02 | -2.88 | |
5/01 | A | Lake Braddock | 1- | 12 | -11 | -11 | | 1.02 | 0.36 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -8.43 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/17 | H | Southlake Carroll | 1- | 11 | 0.00 |
3/28 | A | West Springfield | 1- | 11 | -2.07 |
4/23 | A | South County | 2- | 15 | 2.44 |
4/24 | A | Annandale | 3- | 14 | -1.95 |
4/26 | H | Hayfield | 3- | 14 | 1.00 |
5/01 | A | Lake Braddock | 1- | 12 | -0.36 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.08 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 77. | | Natl CCR Rank | 2037 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 77.66 | | Natl Power Rank | 2037 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 75.64 | | Natl SOS Rank | 892 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.65 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2528 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.08 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2637 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 1-11 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -7.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -8.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -11.0 |
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