| Conference: SCIAC | Region: CT L | State: CT | Coach: Chris Guarino |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/02 | A | Saint Bernard | 6- | 11 | -5 | -5 | | 1.20 | -0.02 | |
4/05 | H | Notre Dame-Fairfield | 1- | 16 | -15 | -11 | –– | -1.20 | -4.44 | |
4/11 | H | Newington | 5- | 16 | -11 | -9 | | -1.20 | -1.82 | |
4/17 | H | Hamden | 4- | 13 | -9 | -14 | ++ | -1.20 | 4.54 | |
4/22 | A | Shelton | 4- | 17 | -13 | -14 | | 1.20 | 1.18 | |
4/24 | H | Notre Dame-West Haven | 6- | 17 | -11 | -11 | | -1.20 | -0.43 | |
4/28 | H | Wilbur Cross | 8- | 4 | 4 | -2 | ++ | -1.20 | 5.68 | |
5/03 | H | Shelton | 3- | 17 | -14 | -12 | – | -1.20 | -2.22 | |
5/05 | H | Guilford | 2- | 21 | -19 | -20 | | -1.20 | 0.57 | |
5/06 | A | North Haven | 4- | 14 | -10 | -11 | | 1.20 | 1.37 | |
5/13 | A | Valley Regional | 3- | 17 | -14 | -7 | ––– | 1.20 | -6.58 | |
5/14 | A | Xavier | 0- | 17 | -17 | -21 | ++ | 1.20 | 4.08 | |
5/15 | A | Amity Regional | 2- | 18 | -16 | -22 | +++ | 1.20 | 6.13 | |
5/16 | A | Notre Dame-West Haven | 1- | 15 | -14 | -13 | | 1.20 | -1.03 | |
5/19 | H | North Haven | 2- | 15 | -13 | -9 | –– | -1.20 | -4.03 | |
5/21 | H | Valley Regional | 4- | 12 | -8 | -5 | – | -1.20 | -2.98 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/05 | H | Notre Dame-Fairfield | 1- | 16 | 4.44 |
4/11 | H | Newington | 5- | 16 | 1.00 |
4/22 | A | Shelton | 4- | 17 | -1.18 |
4/24 | H | Notre Dame-West Haven | 6- | 17 | 0.43 |
5/03 | H | Shelton | 3- | 17 | 2.22 |
5/05 | H | Guilford | 2- | 21 | -0.57 |
5/06 | A | North Haven | 4- | 14 | -1.37 |
5/13 | A | Valley Regional | 3- | 17 | 4.00 |
5/14 | A | Xavier | 0- | 17 | -4.08 |
5/15 | A | Amity Regional | 2- | 18 | -6.13 |
5/16 | A | Notre Dame-West Haven | 1- | 15 | 1.03 |
5/19 | H | North Haven | 2- | 15 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.17 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 70. | | Natl CCR Rank | 2532 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 70.48 | | Natl Power Rank | 2532 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 62.89 | | Natl SOS Rank | 2168 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.07 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1574 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.06 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2683 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 1-15 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -11.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -17.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -11.7 |
| 
