| Region: TX 1 Centrl | State: TX | Coach: Dave Lapin |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
1/26 | KATY-TAYLOR (6-11) | TX 2 South-2 | 77.2 | | W | 16- | 5 | | 0.075 |
2/17 | SOUTHLAKE CARROLL (5-15) | TX 1 North | 80.6 | | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.175 |
2/27 | CEDAR PARK (18-4) | TX 2 CenHill | 86.2 | | L | 8- | 9 | ot | -0.200 |
3/01 | HIGHLAND PARK (17-3) | TX 1 North | 96.8 | 1 | L | 1- | 15 | | 0.000 |
3/04 | at St Stephens (3-11) | TX 1 Centrl | 72.1 | | W | 8- | 3 | | 0.100 |
3/08 | vs. The Heights # (11-8) | MD MILL | 87.6 | | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.125 |
3/22 | at McCallum (4-11) | TX 1 Centrl | 75.0 | | W | 14- | 3 | | 0.150 |
3/30 | MCNEIL (8-6) | TX 1 Centrl | 80.5 | | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.150 |
4/02 | BOWIE (9-7) | TX 1 Centrl | 79.1 | | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.375 |
4/04 | at Austin (14-3) | TX 1 Centrl | 88.5 | 8 | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.150 |
4/06 | ANDERSON (4-10) | TX 1 Centrl | 74.4 | | W | 11- | 2 | | 0.050 |
4/09 | WESTWOOD (12-5) | TX 1 Centrl | 85.3 | 10 | L | 6- | 12 | | -0.300 |
4/15 | ST MARY'S HALL (5-11) | TX 1 Centrl | 77.9 | | W | 7- | 4 | | 0.150 |
4/18 | at St Andrew's (10-6) | TX 1 Centrl | 80.8 | | L | 3- | 5 | | -0.275 |
4/23 | at Bowie (9-7) | TX 1 Centrl | 79.1 | | W | 9- | 4 | | 0.200 |
4/26 | vs. Westwood # (12-5) | TX 1 Centrl | 85.3 | 10 | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.250 |
4/27 | vs. Austin # (14-3) | TX 1 Centrl | 88.5 | 8 | L | 3- | 8 | | -0.175 |
| # Neutral site | | 82.1 | | | | | | -0.30 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
1/26 | H | Katy-Taylor | 16- | 5 | 11 | 7 | ++ | -1.69 | | 4.44 |
2/17 | H | Southlake Carroll | 12- | 4 | 8 | 3 | ++ | -1.63 | 4.93 | |
2/27 | H | Cedar Park | 8- | 9 | -1 | -2 | | -1.69 | | 1.40 |
3/01 | H | Highland Park | 1- | 15 | -14 | -13 | | -1.63 | -1.50 | |
3/04 | A | St Stephens | 8- | 3 | 5 | 6 | | 1.63 | -1.25 | |
3/08 | N | The Heights | 4- | 10 | -6 | -5 | | 0.00 | | -0.53 |
3/22 | A | McCallum | 14- | 3 | 11 | 4 | +++ | 1.63 | 6.70 | |
3/30 | H | McNeil | 9- | 5 | 4 | 4 | | -1.63 | 0.16 | |
4/02 | H | Bowie | 6- | 8 | -2 | 5 | ––– | -1.63 | -7.21 | |
4/04 | A | Austin | 6- | 7 | -1 | -4 | + | 1.63 | 3.30 | |
4/06 | H | Anderson | 11- | 2 | 9 | 8 | | -1.63 | 1.45 | |
4/09 | H | Westwood | 6- | 12 | -6 | 2 | ––– | -1.63 | -7.55 | |
4/15 | H | St Mary's Hall | 7- | 4 | 3 | 4 | | -1.63 | -0.57 | |
4/18 | A | St Andrew's | 3- | 5 | -2 | 1 | – | 1.63 | -3.27 | |
4/23 | A | Bowie | 9- | 4 | 5 | 2 | + | 1.63 | 3.05 | |
4/26 | N | Westwood | 9- | 5 | 4 | 0 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.08 | |
4/27 | N | Austin | 3- | 8 | -5 | -3 | – | 0.00 | -2.33 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 5.30 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
1/26 | H | Katy-Taylor | 16- | 5 | -1.00 |
3/01 | H | Highland Park | 1- | 15 | 1.50 |
3/22 | A | McCallum | 14- | 3 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.03 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 82. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1583 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 82.12 | | Natl Power Rank | 1583 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 71.52 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1326 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.30 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2009 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.53 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1256 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -14.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.3 |
|
