| Region: VA Patriot | State: VA | Coach: Chris Brengel |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/12 | CHANTILLY (20-0) | VA Concord | 98.6 | 1 | L | 2- | 10 | | -0.050 |
3/14 | at Westfield (10-7) | VA Concord | 94.1 | 5 | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.100 |
3/18 | MOUNT VERNON (9-7) | VA Nationl | 86.6 | | W | 20- | 6 | | 0.075 |
3/20 | HAYFIELD (6-5) | VA Patriot | 89.3 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.175 |
3/26 | at T.C. Williams (3-10) | VA Patriot | 80.7 | | W | 17- | 6 | | 0.025 |
3/28 | WEST POTOMAC (1-11) | VA Patriot | 77.7 | | W | 11- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/09 | at Annandale (15-4) | VA Patriot | 93.4 | 7 | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.300 |
4/11 | SOUTH COUNTY (6-6) | VA Patriot | 89.6 | | L | 10- | 11 | ot | -0.325 |
4/15 | at Lake Braddock (11-5) | VA Patriot | 90.3 | 10 | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.250 |
4/28 | ROBERT E LEE (2-10) | VA Patriot | 79.6 | | W | 13- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/01 | HAYFIELD (6-5) | VA Patriot | 89.3 | | W | 11- | 9 | | 0.175 |
5/05 | vs. Annandale # (15-4) | VA Patriot | 93.4 | 7 | L | 4- | 9 | | -0.225 |
5/13 | LANGLEY (12-4) | VA Liberty | 95.4 | 2 | L | 2- | 11 | | -0.125 |
| # Neutral site | | 87.6 | | | | | | -0.32 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/12 | H | Chantilly | 2- | 10 | -8 | -8 | | -1.02 | 0.09 | |
3/14 | A | Westfield | 6- | 8 | -2 | -6 | + | 1.02 | 3.65 | |
3/18 | H | Mount Vernon | 20- | 6 | 14 | 7 | +++ | -1.02 | 6.58 | |
3/20 | H | Hayfield | 9- | 6 | 3 | 3 | | -1.02 | 0.07 | |
3/26 | A | T.C. Williams | 17- | 6 | 11 | 9 | + | 1.02 | 2.14 | |
3/28 | H | West Potomac | 11- | 1 | 10 | 12 | – | -1.02 | -2.07 | |
4/09 | A | Annandale | 8- | 7 | 1 | -2 | + | 1.02 | 2.91 | |
4/11 | H | South County | 10- | 11 | -1 | 3 | – | -1.02 | -3.54 | |
4/15 | A | Lake Braddock | 7- | 8 | -1 | 0 | | 1.02 | -0.68 | |
4/28 | H | Robert E Lee | 13- | 1 | 12 | 12 | | -1.02 | 0.28 | |
5/01 | H | Hayfield | 11- | 9 | 2 | 3 | | -1.02 | -0.93 | |
5/05 | N | Annandale | 4- | 9 | -5 | -1 | –– | 0.00 | -4.12 | |
5/13 | H | Langley | 2- | 11 | -9 | -5 | –– | -1.02 | -4.39 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/18 | H | Mount Vernon | 20- | 6 | -4.00 |
3/26 | A | T.C. Williams | 17- | 6 | -1.00 |
3/28 | H | West Potomac | 11- | 1 | 2.07 |
4/28 | H | Robert E Lee | 13- | 1 | -0.28 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.25 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 91. | | Natl CCR Rank | 611 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 90.99 | | Natl Power Rank | 611 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 81.22 | | Natl SOS Rank | 449 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.32 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2069 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.54 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1196 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -4.0 |
|
