| Conference: Bay State | Region: MA 1 | State: MA | Coach: Rob McCarthy |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/01 | NEEDHAM (16-7) | MA 1 | 94.3 | | L | 4- | 7 | | -0.175 |
4/03 | at Brookline (9-11) | MA 1 | 91.3 | | W | 11- | 6 | | 0.250 |
4/07 | NATICK (4-15) | MA 2 | 86.7 | | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.075 |
4/09 | at Framingham (3-15) | MA 1 | 86.8 | | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.150 |
4/11 | DEDHAM (0-15) | MA 3 | 75.8 | | W | 19- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/14 | NEWTON NORTH (12-9) | MA 1 | 92.9 | | L | 9- | 12 | | -0.250 |
4/16 | at Wellesley (18-5) | MA 2 | 94.4 | | L | 2- | 7 | | -0.150 |
4/23 | at Winchester (16-6) | MA 2 | 94.4 | | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.125 |
4/26 | HINGHAM (5-12) | MA 2 | 92.7 | | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.325 |
5/01 | at Needham (16-7) | MA 1 | 94.3 | | L | 2- | 15 | | -0.100 |
5/05 | BROOKLINE (9-11) | MA 1 | 91.3 | | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.200 |
5/07 | NORWOOD (16-6) | MA 2 | 93.5 | | L | 10- | 12 | | -0.225 |
5/09 | FRAMINGHAM (3-15) | MA 1 | 86.8 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.100 |
5/12 | at Walpole (21-1) | MA 2 | 96.5 | 3 | L | 4- | 13 | | -0.025 |
5/15 | at Braintree (8-10) | MA 1 | 91.6 | | W | 12- | 9 | | 0.250 |
5/16 | at Milton (4-14) | MA 2 | 87.6 | | W | 13- | 8 | | 0.150 |
5/19 | BRAINTREE (8-10) | MA 1 | 91.6 | | W | 13- | 11 | | 0.175 |
5/21 | at Newton North (12-9) | MA 1 | 92.9 | | L | 7- | 13 | | -0.200 |
5/28 | at Peabody (14-6) | MA 1 | 92.9 | | L | 10- | 11 | 2ot | -0.225 |
| | 85.6 | | | | | | 0.20 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/01 | H | Needham | 4- | 7 | -3 | -3 | | -1.09 | 0.33 | |
4/03 | A | Brookline | 11- | 6 | 5 | 0 | ++ | 1.09 | 4.90 | |
4/07 | H | Natick | 7- | 6 | 1 | 7 | –– | -1.09 | -5.62 | |
4/09 | A | Framingham | 12- | 4 | 8 | 4 | ++ | 1.09 | 4.13 | |
4/11 | H | Dedham | 19- | 1 | 18 | 15 | + | -1.09 | 2.63 | |
4/14 | H | Newton North | 9- | 12 | -3 | 0 | – | -1.09 | -2.78 | |
4/16 | A | Wellesley | 2- | 7 | -5 | -4 | | 1.09 | -0.73 | |
4/23 | A | Winchester | 4- | 10 | -6 | -5 | | 1.09 | -1.24 | |
4/26 | H | Hingham | 6- | 5 | 1 | -3 | + | -1.09 | 4.00 | |
5/01 | A | Needham | 2- | 15 | -13 | -6 | ––– | 1.09 | -7.49 | |
5/05 | H | Brookline | 7- | 6 | 1 | 2 | | -1.09 | -1.28 | |
5/07 | H | Norwood | 10- | 12 | -2 | -1 | | -1.09 | -0.78 | |
5/09 | H | Framingham | 15- | 5 | 10 | 6 | + | -1.09 | 3.95 | |
5/12 | A | Walpole | 4- | 13 | -9 | -9 | | 1.09 | -0.08 | |
5/15 | A | Braintree | 12- | 9 | 3 | 0 | + | 1.09 | 2.53 | |
5/16 | A | Milton | 13- | 8 | 5 | 4 | | 1.09 | 1.35 | |
5/19 | H | Braintree | 13- | 11 | 2 | 3 | | -1.09 | -0.65 | |
5/21 | A | Newton North | 7- | 13 | -6 | -2 | – | 1.09 | -3.59 | |
5/28 | A | Peabody | 10- | 11 | -1 | -1 | | 1.09 | 0.43 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/11 | H | Dedham | 19- | 1 | -2.63 |
5/01 | A | Needham | 2- | 15 | 3.00 |
5/09 | H | Framingham | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.02 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 92. | | Natl CCR Rank | 480 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 92.32 | | Natl Power Rank | 480 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 77.49 | | Natl SOS Rank | 714 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.20 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 997 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.53 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1264 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 0.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.7 |
|
