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Watertown IHC Cavaliers (11-9)

Conference: Frontr

Region: NY C Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Jerry Standford

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	vs. Carthage # (21-3)	NY B Sec 3	99.0	2	L	5-	16		-0.075
4/10	at General Brown (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	87.3		W	17-	4		0.075
4/12	WHITNEY POINT (1-18)	NY C Sec 4	70.7		W	21-	3		0.000
4/17	at Onondaga Central (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	90.9		L	9-	13		-0.275
4/22	WATERTOWN HS (14-4)	NY A Sec 3	93.8		W	12-	10		0.275
4/24	at South Jefferson (8-10)	NY C Sec 3	86.7		W	18-	6		0.075
4/26	at Canton Central (11-7)	NY C Sec 10	87.4		W	18-	3		0.150
4/28	at Lafayette (19-2)	NY C Sec 3	98.2	4	L	5-	16		-0.100
4/29	INDIAN RIVER (1-13)	NY B Sec 3	79.3		W	19-	9		0.000
5/01	CARTHAGE (21-3)	NY B Sec 3	99.0	2	L	8-	16		-0.100
5/06	at Lowville (5-12)	NY C Sec 3	86.1		L	8-	9	ot	-0.400
5/08	at New Hartford (13-7)	NY C Sec 3	95.2		L	9-	11		-0.150
5/13	GENERAL BROWN (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	87.3		W	15-	4		0.025
5/15	at Watertown HS (14-4)	NY A Sec 3	93.8		L	9-	10	ot	-0.175
5/16	vs. Salmon River # (16-1)	NY C Sec 10	92.8		L	10-	22		-0.225
5/19	LOWVILLE (5-12)	NY C Sec 3	86.1		W	15-	9		0.050
5/20	SOUTH JEFFERSON (8-10)	NY C Sec 3	86.7		W	18-	1		0.025
5/22	at Indian River (1-13)	NY B Sec 3	79.3		W	21-	12		0.000
5/27	at Onondaga Central (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	90.9		W	10-	7		0.225
5/29	at Lafayette (19-2)	NY C Sec 3	98.2	4	L	2-	11		-0.100
# Neutral site			89.2						-0.70

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	N	Carthage	5-	16	-11	-7	–	0.00	-3.53
4/10	A	General Brown	17-	4	13	7	+++	1.08	6.22
4/12	H	Whitney Point	21-	3	18	22	––	-1.08		-4.39
4/17	A	Onondaga Central	9-	13	-4	1	––	1.08	-4.64
4/22	H	Watertown HS	12-	10	2	-1	+	-1.08	2.68
4/24	A	South Jefferson	18-	6	12	7	++	1.08	4.85
4/26	A	Canton Central	18-	3	15	4	+++	0.97		11.39
4/28	A	Lafayette	5-	16	-11	-6	––	1.08	-4.97
4/29	H	Indian River	19-	9	10	12	–	-1.08	-2.32
5/01	H	Carthage	8-	16	-8	-6		-1.08	-1.61
5/06	A	Lowville	8-	9	-1	6	–––	1.08	-6.58
5/08	A	New Hartford	9-	11	-2	-4		1.08	1.79
5/13	H	General Brown	15-	4	11	9	+	-1.08	2.07
5/15	A	Watertown HS	9-	10	-1	-3		1.08	1.84
5/16	N	Salmon River	10-	22	-12	-1	–––	0.00		11.18
5/19	H	Lowville	15-	9	6	8		-1.08	-1.74
5/20	H	South Jefferson	18-	1	17	9	+++	-1.08	7.69
5/22	A	Indian River	21-	12	9	10		1.08	-1.16
5/27	A	Onondaga Central	10-	7	3	1	+	1.08	2.36
5/29	A	Lafayette	2-	11	-9	-6	–	1.08	-2.97
									0.00	-4.17

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	N	Carthage	5-	16	1.00
4/10	A	General Brown	17-	4	-3.00
4/12	H	Whitney Point	21-	3	4.39
4/24	A	South Jefferson	18-	6	-2.00
4/26	A	Canton Central	18-	3	-5.00
4/28	A	Lafayette	5-	16	1.00
4/29	H	Indian River	19-	9	2.32
5/13	H	General Brown	15-	4	-1.00
5/16	N	Salmon River	10-	22	2.00
5/20	H	South Jefferson	18-	1	-7.00
10-goal correction: -0.36

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	521
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.98		Natl Power Rank	521
Natl SOS Rating	84.99		Natl SOS Rank	246
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.70		Natl Quality Win Rank	2571
W-L Pct Rating	0.55		W-L Pct Rank	1165
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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