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Williamsville North Spartans (8-10)

Region: NY A Sec 6State: NYCoach: Matt Smart

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/01AMHERST (13-5)NY B Sec 696.25L1-12 -0.075  
4/08at Lancaster (8-7)NY A Sec 688.6L2- 7 -0.225  
4/10at Hamburg (21-2)NY B Sec 698.62L0-14 0.000  
4/24ORCHARD PARK (19-3)NY A Sec 698.71L1-13 0.000  
4/28at Williamsville South (5-13)NY B Sec 683.5W7- 5 0.175  
4/30at West Seneca West (5-13)NY A Sec 683.7W7- 63ot0.200  
5/02at Niagara Wheatfield (15-6)NY A Sec 696.73L6-19 0.000  
5/05CLARENCE (12-8)NY A Sec 691.610L2-10 -0.225  
5/09FRONTIER (13-6)NY A Sec 695.76W7- 6 0.375  
5/10at Canisius (10-10)NY P Sec 690.5L3-11 -0.175  
5/12LOCKPORT (7-12)NY A Sec 684.3W15- 5 0.150  
5/14vs. Penn Yan # (14-8)NY C Sec 595.1L0- 8 -0.075  
5/15JAMESTOWN (2-15)NY A Sec 675.2W19- 2 0.000  
5/19at North Tonawanda (3-11)NY A Sec 678.7W15- 3 0.000  
5/20WILLIAMSVILLE EAST (12-6)NY B Sec 692.69L2- 8 -0.200  
5/23at West Seneca East (12-9)NY B Sec 692.78W7- 4 0.350  
5/27SWEET HOME (10-9)NY B Sec 690.1W7- 4 0.250  
5/30at Clarence (12-8)NY A Sec 691.610L4- 5 -0.175  
# Neutral site 87.9     0.35  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01HAmherst1-12-11   -7       ––-0.89       -4.40
4/08ALancaster2-7-5   -1       ––0.89       -4.02
4/10AHamburg0-14-14   -13       0.89       -1.00
4/24HOrchard Park1-13-12   -12       -0.89       -0.11
4/28AWilliamsville South7-52   3       0.89       -0.63
4/30AWest Seneca West7-61   2       0.89       -1.05
5/02ANiagara Wheatfield6-19-13   -10       –0.89       -2.80
5/05HClarence2-10-8   -1       –––-0.89       -6.77
5/09HFrontier7-61   -5       ++-0.89       5.72
5/10ACanisius3-11-8   -3       ––0.89       -4.63
5/12HLockport15-510   4       +++-0.89       6.45
5/14NPenn Yan0-8-8   -7       0.00       -1.38
5/15HJamestown19-217   14       +-0.89       3.43
5/19ANorth Tonawanda15-312   11       0.89       1.20
5/20HWilliamsville East2-8-6   -2       ––-0.89       -4.03
5/23AWest Seneca East7-43   -4       +++0.89       7.34
5/27HSweet Home7-43   0       +-0.89       3.29
5/30AClarence4-5-1   -3       +0.89       2.01
         0.00-1.38

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/01HAmherst1-121.00
4/10AHamburg0-141.00
4/24HOrchard Park1-130.11
5/02ANiagara Wheatfield6-193.00
5/12HLockport15-50.00
5/15HJamestown19-2-3.43
5/19ANorth Tonawanda15-3-1.20
10-goal correction: 0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 88.   Natl CCR Rank 922
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 88.43   Natl Power Rank 922
Natl SOS Rating 82.53   Natl SOS Rank 364
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.35   Natl Quality Win Rank 803
W-L Pct Rating 0.44   W-L Pct Rank 1598
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 8-10   Ave Goal diff (all ) -2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -12.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-7   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -6.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-9   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -5.9
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.7



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