| Conference: Div I | Region: NY A Sec 11 | State: NY | Coach: Bob Howell |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/25 | FREEPORT (4-11) | NY A Sec 8 | 87.3 | | W | 10- | 6 | | 0.125 |
4/01 | at Commack (4-13) | NY A Sec 11 | 86.9 | | W | 13- | 9 | | 0.150 |
4/03 | BELLPORT (10-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 93.4 | | L | 4- | 5 | | -0.225 |
4/07 | PLAINVIEW JFK (3-13) | NY A Sec 8 | 86.9 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.125 |
4/09 | at West Babylon (6-11) | NY A Sec 11 | 89.3 | | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.250 |
4/11 | COPIAGUE (7-10) | NY A Sec 11 | 88.1 | | W | 14- | 11 | | 0.175 |
4/15 | DEER PARK (4-12) | NY A Sec 11 | 87.5 | | W | 17- | 14 | | 0.150 |
4/17 | at Connetquot (10-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 93.5 | | L | 5- | 11 | | -0.200 |
4/21 | at Brentwood (2-15) | NY A Sec 11 | 85.2 | | W | 11- | 3 | | 0.075 |
4/26 | JOHN GLENN-ELWOOD (12-7) | NY C Sec 11 | 95.6 | | L | 9- | 14 | | -0.200 |
4/29 | RIVERHEAD (8-9) | NY A Sec 11 | 88.3 | | W | 14- | 8 | | 0.150 |
5/01 | at Northport (8-10) | NY A Sec 11 | 94.5 | | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.150 |
5/07 | LONGWOOD (5-10) | NY A Sec 11 | 87.6 | | W | 17- | 7 | | 0.125 |
5/09 | NORTH BABYLON (3-14) | NY A Sec 11 | 86.0 | | W | 18- | 5 | | 0.050 |
5/13 | at East Islip (11-7) | NY A Sec 11 | 96.4 | | L | 8- | 16 | | -0.125 |
5/15 | at Middle Country (13-6) | NY A Sec 11 | 96.2 | | L | 8- | 10 | | -0.150 |
5/19 | SACHEM NORTH (4-13) | NY A Sec 11 | 87.9 | | L | 12- | 13 | ot | -0.350 |
| | 85.5 | | | | | | -0.02 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/25 | H | Freeport | 10- | 6 | 4 | 5 | | -0.66 | | -0.82 |
4/01 | A | Commack | 13- | 9 | 4 | 4 | | 0.65 | -0.23 | |
4/03 | H | Bellport | 4- | 5 | -1 | -1 | | -0.65 | -0.32 | |
4/07 | H | Plainview JFK | 12- | 6 | 6 | 5 | | -0.66 | | 0.73 |
4/09 | A | West Babylon | 7- | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 0.65 | 1.28 | |
4/11 | H | Copiague | 14- | 11 | 3 | 3 | | -0.65 | 0.22 | |
4/15 | H | Deer Park | 17- | 14 | 3 | 4 | | -0.65 | -0.95 | |
4/17 | A | Connetquot | 5- | 11 | -6 | -2 | –– | 0.65 | -4.14 | |
4/21 | A | Brentwood | 11- | 3 | 8 | 7 | | 0.65 | 0.75 | |
4/26 | H | John Glenn-Elwood | 9- | 14 | -5 | -2 | – | -0.65 | -2.70 | |
4/29 | H | Riverhead | 14- | 8 | 6 | 4 | + | -0.65 | 2.49 | |
5/01 | A | Northport | 5- | 10 | -5 | -4 | | 0.65 | -0.76 | |
5/07 | H | Longwood | 17- | 7 | 10 | 5 | ++ | -0.65 | 4.88 | |
5/09 | H | North Babylon | 18- | 5 | 13 | 8 | ++ | -0.65 | 5.26 | |
5/13 | A | East Islip | 8- | 16 | -8 | -5 | – | 0.65 | -2.76 | |
5/15 | A | Middle Country | 8- | 10 | -2 | -4 | | 0.65 | 1.85 | |
5/19 | H | Sachem North | 12- | 13 | -1 | 4 | –– | -0.65 | -4.87 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
5/07 | H | Longwood | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
5/09 | H | North Babylon | 18- | 5 | -3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.18 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 91. | | Natl CCR Rank | 586 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 91.49 | | Natl Power Rank | 586 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 77.23 | | Natl SOS Rank | 741 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.02 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1459 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.59 | | W-L Pct Rank | 992 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -5.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.7 |
|
