| Region: MD 32 West | State: MD | Coach: David Baldwin |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/22 | at Leonardtown (15-2) | MD 43 East | 96.0 | 6 | L | 16- | 23 | | -0.200 |
3/22 | vs. Old Mill # (7-9) | MD 43 East | 88.6 | | W | 15- | 7 | | 0.075 |
3/25 | at Tuscarora (7-9) | MD 32 West | 87.9 | | W | 19- | 9 | | 0.075 |
3/27 | CATOCTIN (3-11) | MD 21 West | 78.5 | | W | 20- | 6 | | 0.000 |
4/01 | at Urbana (16-2) | MD 43 North | 97.4 | 2 | L | 7- | 15 | | -0.075 |
4/03 | SOUTH HAGERSTOWN (1-14) | MD 32 West | 71.5 | | W | 17- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/08 | at Linganore (3-9) | MD 43 North | 86.3 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.075 |
4/10 | FREDERICK (11-5) | MD 32 West | 90.8 | | W | 11- | 6 | | 0.050 |
4/14 | WINTERS MILL (10-8) | MD 32 West | 91.8 | | W | 13- | 8 | | 0.075 |
4/17 | at North Hagerstown (2-11) | MD 32 West | 75.2 | | W | 15- | 0 | | 0.000 |
4/22 | at Francis Scott Key (5-9) | MD 32 West | 85.6 | | W | 16- | 5 | | 0.025 |
4/24 | MIDDLETOWN (10-5) | MD 32 West | 89.4 | | W | 18- | 4 | | 0.000 |
4/29 | at Thomas Johnson (6-10) | MD 43 North | 87.3 | | W | 19- | 4 | | 0.075 |
5/05 | SMITHSBURG (9-6) | MD 21 West | 89.1 | | W | 17- | 9 | | 0.050 |
5/10 | TUSCARORA (7-9) | MD 32 West | 87.9 | | W | 18- | 6 | | 0.025 |
5/13 | DAMASCUS (10-5) | MD 32 West | 86.4 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/14 | WINTERS MILL (10-8) | MD 32 West | 91.8 | | W | 20- | 7 | | 0.075 |
5/16 | vs. Centennial # (13-6) | MD 32 South | 94.3 | | W | 21- | 11 | | 0.200 |
5/20 | vs. Hereford # (15-2) | MD 32 North | 97.2 | 3 | L | 5- | 17 | | -0.175 |
| # Neutral site | | 84.0 | | | | | | 0.35 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/22 | A | Leonardtown | 16- | 23 | -7 | -2 | –– | 0.93 | -5.30 | |
3/22 | N | Old Mill | 15- | 7 | 8 | 7 | | 0.00 | 0.59 | |
3/25 | A | Tuscarora | 19- | 9 | 10 | 7 | + | 0.93 | 2.74 | |
3/27 | H | Catoctin | 20- | 6 | 14 | 17 | – | -0.93 | -3.34 | |
4/01 | A | Urbana | 7- | 15 | -8 | -7 | | 0.93 | -1.09 | |
4/03 | H | South Hagerstown | 17- | 3 | 14 | 24 | ––– | -0.93 | -9.62 | |
4/08 | A | Linganore | 12- | 3 | 9 | 7 | + | 0.93 | 2.29 | |
4/10 | H | Frederick | 11- | 6 | 5 | 8 | – | -0.93 | -2.90 | |
4/14 | H | Winters Mill | 13- | 8 | 5 | 7 | | -0.93 | -1.56 | |
4/17 | A | North Hagerstown | 15- | 0 | 15 | 19 | – | 0.93 | -3.91 | |
4/22 | A | Francis Scott Key | 16- | 5 | 11 | 9 | + | 0.93 | 2.03 | |
4/24 | H | Middletown | 18- | 4 | 14 | 10 | ++ | -0.93 | 4.38 | |
4/29 | A | Thomas Johnson | 19- | 4 | 15 | 7 | +++ | 0.93 | 7.71 | |
5/05 | H | Smithsburg | 17- | 9 | 8 | 8 | | -0.93 | -0.14 | |
5/10 | H | Tuscarora | 18- | 6 | 12 | 9 | + | -0.93 | 2.88 | |
5/13 | H | Damascus | 15- | 3 | 12 | 12 | | -0.93 | 0.16 | |
5/14 | H | Winters Mill | 20- | 7 | 13 | 7 | +++ | -0.93 | 6.44 | |
5/16 | N | Centennial | 21- | 11 | 10 | 2 | +++ | 0.00 | 7.78 | |
5/20 | N | Hereford | 5- | 17 | -12 | -3 | ––– | 0.00 | -9.16 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/25 | A | Tuscarora | 19- | 9 | 0.00 |
3/27 | H | Catoctin | 20- | 6 | 3.34 |
4/03 | H | South Hagerstown | 17- | 3 | 9.62 |
4/17 | A | North Hagerstown | 15- | 0 | 3.91 |
4/22 | A | Francis Scott Key | 16- | 5 | -1.00 |
4/24 | H | Middletown | 18- | 4 | -4.38 |
4/29 | A | Thomas Johnson | 19- | 4 | -5.00 |
5/10 | H | Tuscarora | 18- | 6 | -2.00 |
5/13 | H | Damascus | 15- | 3 | -0.16 |
5/14 | H | Winters Mill | 20- | 7 | -3.00 |
5/16 | N | Centennial | 21- | 11 | 0.00 |
5/20 | N | Hereford | 5- | 17 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.17 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 96. | | Natl CCR Rank | 203 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 95.56 | | Natl Power Rank | 203 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 74.78 | | Natl SOS Rank | 983 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.35 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 800 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.84 | | W-L Pct Rank | 168 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 7.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 3.7 |
| 
