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Walled Lake Northern Knights (13-6)

Region: MI 1

State: MI

Coach: Michael Farkas

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	LAPEER WEST (7-3)	MI 2	80.9		W	16-	3		0.025
4/08	WEST BLOOMFIELD (2-12)	MI 1	70.3		W	22-	0		0.000
4/11	HOWELL (4-11)	MI 1	80.6		W	10-	5		0.100
4/14	at Canton (13-6)	MI 1	88.7		L	3-	10		-0.175
4/17	SALEM (3-16)	MI 1	74.9		W	16-	1		0.000
4/19	HASLETT-WILLIAMSTON (7-8)	MI 2	82.0		W	13-	6		0.100
4/21	PLYMOUTH (8-11)	MI 1	81.2		W	13-	11		0.125
4/24	at Novi (15-3)	MI 1	92.3	9	L	5-	18		0.000
4/28	HURON VALLEY-LAKELAND (5-10)	MI 1	81.6		L	7-	8		-0.325
5/01	at Hartland (6-11)	MI 1	81.1		W	14-	7		0.175
5/03	at Haslett-Williamston (7-8)	MI 2	82.0		W	10-	7		0.175
5/05	BRIGHTON (11-6)	MI 1	88.5		L	5-	10		-0.225
5/07	HOLT (10-5)	MI 1	88.7		L	8-	11		-0.225
5/09	at Walled Lake Central (2-14)	MI 1	74.8		W	15-	1		0.000
5/12	at South Lyon (14-3)	MI 1	89.7		W	8-	7		0.375
5/15	NORTHVILLE (6-13)	MI 1	82.0		W	10-	5		0.175
5/20	WALLED LAKE CENTRAL (2-14)	MI 1	74.8		W	14-	2		0.000
5/22	LAKE ORION (4-12)	MI 1	80.6		W	11-	4		0.100
5/28	vs. Detroit Catholic Cent # (11-8)	MI 1	92.7	6	L	3-	17		0.000
# Neutral site			72.5						0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Lapeer West	16-	3	13	9	+	-1.42	3.50
4/08	H	West Bloomfield	22-	0	22	19	+	-1.42	3.25
4/11	H	Howell	10-	5	5	6		-1.42	-1.32
4/14	A	Canton	3-	10	-7	-3	–	1.42	-3.64
4/17	H	Salem	16-	1	15	14		-1.42	1.25
4/19	H	Haslett-Williamston	13-	6	7	6		-1.42	1.12
4/21	H	Plymouth	13-	11	2	5	–	-1.42	-3.43
4/24	A	Novi	5-	18	-13	-10	–	1.42	-2.53
4/28	H	Huron Valley-Lakeland	7-	8	-1	3	––	-1.42	-4.01
5/01	A	Hartland	14-	7	7	3	+	1.42	3.54
5/03	A	Haslett-Williamston	10-	7	3	3		1.42	-0.03
5/05	H	Brighton	5-	10	-5	-1	––	-1.42	-4.35
5/07	H	Holt	8-	11	-3	-1	–	-1.42	-2.09
5/09	A	Walled Lake Central	15-	1	14	10	+	1.42	3.78
5/12	A	South Lyon	8-	7	1	-5	++	1.42	5.92
5/15	H	Northville	10-	5	5	3	+	-1.42	2.14
5/20	H	Walled Lake Central	14-	2	12	13		-1.42	-1.07
5/22	H	Lake Orion	11-	4	7	6		-1.42	1.02
5/28	N	Detroit Catholic Cent	3-	17	-14	-11	–	0.00	-3.05
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	H	Lapeer West	16-	3	-3.00
4/08	H	West Bloomfield	22-	0	-3.25
4/17	H	Salem	16-	1	-1.25
4/24	A	Novi	5-	18	3.00
5/09	A	Walled Lake Central	15-	1	-3.78
5/20	H	Walled Lake Central	14-	2	1.07
5/28	N	Detroit Catholic Cent	3-	17	3.05
10-goal correction: -0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1214
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.00		Natl Power Rank	1214
Natl SOS Rating	55.35		Natl SOS Rank	2646
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	719
W-L Pct Rating	0.68		W-L Pct Rank	646
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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