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William Allen Canaries (5-11)

Region: PA PVLL-LV

State: PA

Coach: Mark Smith

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	NEW HOPE/SOLEBURY (0-19)	PA Indep	84.2		W	12-	8		0.075
3/29	MORAVIAN ACADEMY (11-7)	PA PVLL-LV	91.4		L	4-	8		-0.050
4/02	SOUTHERN LEHIGH (11-5)	PA PVLL-LV	93.5		L	2-	15		0.000
4/05	WILSON WEST LAWN (8-9)	PA Berks	75.2		W	12-	9		0.000
4/10	EASTON (14-5)	PA PVLL-LV	95.1		L	5-	12		0.000
4/12	MIDWOOD (16-5)	NY PSAL	84.7		L	8-	10		-0.350
4/15	at Parkland (11-6)	PA PVLL-LV	94.1		L	2-	20		0.000
4/17	at Saucon Valley (8-10)	PA PVLL-LV	87.8		L	4-	12		-0.175
4/19	at Conrad Weiser (22-5)	PA Berks	86.0		L	7-	14		-0.250
4/24	at Allentown Cath Central (9-6)	PA PVLL-LV	91.3		L	8-	16		-0.025
4/25	at Douglass Academy (10-7)	NY PSAL	77.5		W	13-	9		0.050
4/29	at Emmaus (16-3)	PA PVLL-LV	97.0		L	3-	18		0.000
4/30	NAZARETH HS (4-15)	PA PVLL-LV	86.9		L	9-	10		-0.275
5/05	at New Hope/Solebury (0-19)	PA Indep	84.2		W	9-	3		0.150
5/07	at Cardinal Dougherty (0-15)	PA Cathol	85.2			-
5/08	at Perkiomen School (5-10)	PA Noeast	86.3		W	9-	6		0.200
5/10	SAUCON VALLEY (8-10)	PA PVLL-LV	87.8		L	8-	9	2ot	-0.225
			78.8						-0.88

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	H	New Hope/Solebury	12-	8	4	7	–	-1.27	-2.51
3/29	H	Moravian Academy	4-	8	-4	-8	+	-1.27	3.74
4/02	H	Southern Lehigh	2-	15	-13	-10	–	-1.27	-2.62
4/05	H	Wilson West Lawn	12-	9	3	12	–––	-0.77		-9.28
4/10	H	Easton	5-	12	-7	-12	++	-1.27	5.03
4/12	H	Midwood	8-	10	-2	4	––	-1.53		-5.56
4/15	A	Parkland	2-	20	-18	-15	–	1.27	-2.96
4/17	A	Saucon Valley	4-	12	-8	-3	––	1.27	-4.93
4/19	A	Conrad Weiser	7-	14	-7	0	–––	0.77		-6.97
4/24	A	Allentown Cath Central	8-	16	-8	-9		1.27	1.20
4/25	A	Douglass Academy	13-	9	4	8	–	1.53		-3.70
4/29	A	Emmaus	3-	18	-15	-18	+	1.27	3.10
4/30	H	Nazareth HS	9-	10	-1	1	–	-1.27	-2.28
5/05	A	New Hope/Solebury	9-	3	6	4	+	1.27	2.02
5/08	A	Perkiomen School	9-	6	3	2		1.27	0.70
5/10	H	Saucon Valley	8-	9	-1	-1		-1.27	-0.47
									0.00	-25.50

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	H	Southern Lehigh	2-	15	3.00
4/15	A	Parkland	2-	20	2.96
4/29	A	Emmaus	3-	18	-3.10
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1131
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.70		Natl Power Rank	1131
Natl SOS Rating	65.06		Natl SOS Rank	1978
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.88		Natl Quality Win Rank	2715
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	2065
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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