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Wilmington Wildcats (7-9)

Conference: Cape Ann

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Mike Fay

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Newburyport (6-10)	MA 2	86.4		L	5-	9		-0.225
4/08	LYNNFIELD (14-3)	MA 3	90.1		L	13-	14		-0.250
4/09	IPSWICH (11-7)	MA 3	90.3		L	8-	10		-0.200
4/11	at Manchester-Essex (2-12)	MA 3	78.7		W	10-	9		0.125
4/15	NORTH READING (2-17)	MA 3	79.5		W	9-	8	2ot	0.150
4/16	at Dracut (2-16)	MA 2	84.5		W	8-	7		0.300
4/18	MANCHESTER-ESSEX (2-12)	MA 3	78.7		W	16-	2		0.075
4/23	WOBURN (8-10)	MA 1	89.8		L	9-	10		-0.200
4/25	at Haverhill (7-10)	MA 1	89.7		L	11-	14		-0.125
5/01	TEWKSBURY MEMORIAL (10-9)	MA 2	91.7		L	6-	7		-0.125
5/05	ARLINGTON CATHOLIC (9-8)	MA 3	87.8		W	7-	6		0.250
5/07	at Georgetown (8-10)	MA 3	85.6		L	9-	10	ot	-0.225
5/12	at Lynnfield (14-3)	MA 3	90.1		L	5-	7		-0.200
5/13	NEWBURYPORT (6-10)	MA 2	86.4		W	10-	9		0.225
5/16	at Pentucket (5-15)	MA 2	83.0		L	8-	13		-0.275
5/19	GEORGETOWN (8-10)	MA 3	85.6		W	11-	10	ot	0.225
			78.5						-0.47

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Newburyport	5-	9	-4	-1	–	1.09	-2.83
4/08	H	Lynnfield	13-	14	-1	0		-1.09	-1.34
4/09	H	Ipswich	8-	10	-2	-2		-1.09	0.14
4/11	A	Manchester-Essex	10-	9	1	5	–	1.09	-3.79
4/15	H	North Reading	9-	8	1	4	–	-1.09	-3.44
4/16	A	Dracut	8-	7	1	-2	+	1.09	2.60
4/18	H	Manchester-Essex	16-	2	14	7	+++	-1.09	7.03
4/23	H	Woburn	9-	10	-1	-2		-1.09	0.99
4/25	A	Haverhill	11-	14	-3	-5	+	1.09	2.00
5/01	H	Tewksbury Memorial	6-	7	-1	-5	++	-1.09	4.13
5/05	H	Arlington Catholic	7-	6	1	0		-1.09	0.89
5/07	A	Georgetown	9-	10	-1	-1		1.09	0.15
5/12	A	Lynnfield	5-	7	-2	-2		1.09	-0.16
5/13	H	Newburyport	10-	9	1	1		-1.09	-0.01
5/16	A	Pentucket	8-	13	-5	1	–––	1.09	-6.34
5/19	H	Georgetown	11-	10	1	1		-1.09	-0.03
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/18	H	Manchester-Essex	16-	2	-4.00
10-goal correction: -0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1233
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.94		Natl Power Rank	1233
Natl SOS Rating	64.37		Natl SOS Rank	2042
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.47		Natl Quality Win Rank	2302
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1627
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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