High School Computer Ratings

Winters Mill Falcons (10-8)

Region: MD 32 West

State: MD

Coach: Sal Picataggi

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/22	at Catonsville (12-5)	MD 43 South	95.6	8	L	3-	8	-0.050
3/22	vs. Mount St Joseph # (8-10)	MD A MIAA	94.0		L	5-	12	-0.200
3/25	at Westminster (11-5)	MD 43 North	94.8		L	2-	7	-0.075
3/27	SOUTH CARROLL (11-5)	MD 21 West	94.4		L	10-	15	-0.150
4/01	at Century (12-6)	MD 21 West	93.8		W	13-	8	0.325
4/03	MIDDLETOWN (10-5)	MD 32 West	89.4		W	8-	5	0.150
4/08	at North Hagerstown (2-11)	MD 32 West	75.2		W	13-	1	0.000
4/14	at Walkersville (16-3)	MD 32 West	95.6	9	L	8-	13	-0.075
4/16	at Frederick (11-5)	MD 32 West	90.8		L	3-	6	-0.250
4/24	FRANCIS SCOTT KEY (5-9)	MD 32 West	85.6		W	13-	4	0.125
4/28	at South Hagerstown (1-14)	MD 32 West	71.5		W	17-	0	0.000
4/29	LIBERTY (6-8)	MD 21 West	88.8		W	11-	10	0.200
5/01	NORTH CARROLL (8-6)	MD 43 North	94.3		L	3-	14	-0.175
5/05	at Marriott's Ridge (12-5)	MD 21 West	94.1		W	8-	7	0.325
5/08	NORTH HAGERSTOWN (2-11)	MD 32 West	75.2		W	18-	5	0.000
5/10	at Middletown (10-5)	MD 32 West	89.4		W	12-	9	0.200
5/13	at Frederick (11-5)	MD 32 West	90.8		W	8-	7	0.250
5/14	at Walkersville (16-3)	MD 32 West	95.6	9	L	7-	20	-0.075
# Neutral site			85.1					0.53

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	A	Catonsville	3-	8	-5	-8	+	0.93	3.04
3/22	N	Mount St Joseph	5-	12	-7	-2	––	0.00		-4.73
3/25	A	Westminster	2-	7	-5	-7		0.93	1.61
3/27	H	South Carroll	10-	15	-5	-4		-0.93	-1.43
4/01	A	Century	13-	8	5	-3	+++	0.93	8.26
4/03	H	Middletown	8-	5	3	4		-0.93	-0.99
4/08	A	North Hagerstown	13-	1	12	13		0.93	-1.28
4/14	A	Walkersville	8-	13	-5	-7		0.93	1.56
4/16	A	Frederick	3-	6	-3	0	–	0.93	-3.41
4/24	H	Francis Scott Key	13-	4	9	5	+	-0.93	3.80
4/28	A	South Hagerstown	17-	0	17	16		0.93	0.87
4/29	H	Liberty	11-	10	1	2		-0.93	-1.45
5/01	H	North Carroll	3-	14	-11	-3	–––	-0.93	-7.66
5/05	A	Marriott's Ridge	8-	7	1	-3	++	0.93	4.21
5/08	H	North Hagerstown	18-	5	13	15	–	-0.93	-2.14
5/10	A	Middletown	12-	9	3	2		0.93	0.87
5/13	A	Frederick	8-	7	1	0		0.93	0.59
5/14	A	Walkersville	7-	20	-13	-7	–––	0.93	-6.44
									0.00	-4.73