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Wilmington New Hanover Wildcats (1-12)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Neal Harrell

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/01	at Chapel Hill (20-2)	NC 4A	95.2	1	L	1-	22		0.000
3/18	at Wilmington Hoggard (17-5)	NC 4A	88.0	8	L	5-	12		0.000
3/20	at Wilmington Ashley (4-11)	NC 4A	77.2		L	2-	11		-0.125
3/26	at Cape Fear Academy (8-8)	NC Prvate	84.7		L	3-	11		0.000
3/29	ATHENS DRIVE (9-11)	NC 4A	78.3		L	3-	13		-0.200
4/03	at Wilmington Laney (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		L	6-	12		-0.025
4/05	HOLLY SPRINGS (14-3)	NC 4A	86.9		L	6-	13		-0.025
4/15	at Triton (7-9)	NC 3A/2A	74.7		L	10-	11	ot	-0.200
4/17	WILMINGTON ASHLEY (4-11)	NC 4A	77.2		L	4-	11		-0.200
4/19	at Cary-Middle Creek (9-7)	NC 4A	83.2		L	5-	11		0.000
4/22	WILMINGTON LANEY (9-8)	NC 4A	82.7		L	3-	10		-0.075
4/25	at Hillsborough Orange (1-13)	NC 3A/2A	67.0		W	12-	5		0.150
4/29	WILMINGTON HOGGARD (17-5)	NC 4A	88.0	8	L	0-	12		0.000
			83.9						-0.70

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/01	A	Chapel Hill	1-	22	-21	-20		1.35	-1.31
3/18	A	Wilmington Hoggard	5-	12	-7	-13	++	1.35	5.96
3/20	A	Wilmington Ashley	2-	11	-9	-5	––	1.35	-4.09
3/26	A	Cape Fear Academy	3-	11	-8	-14	+++	1.45		6.39
3/29	H	Athens Drive	3-	13	-10	-2	–––	-1.35	-7.90
4/03	A	Wilmington Laney	6-	12	-6	-9	+	1.35	3.33
4/05	H	Holly Springs	6-	13	-7	-9	+	-1.35	2.25
4/15	A	Triton	10-	11	-1	-2		1.35	1.34
4/17	H	Wilmington Ashley	4-	11	-7	-2	––	-1.35	-4.78
4/19	A	Cary-Middle Creek	5-	11	-6	-10	+	1.35	3.80
4/22	H	Wilmington Laney	3-	10	-7	-7		-1.35	-0.37
4/25	A	Hillsborough Orange	12-	5	7	4	+	1.35	3.49
4/29	H	Wilmington Hoggard	0-	12	-12	-10		-1.35	-1.73
									0.00	6.39

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/01	A	Chapel Hill	1-	22	1.31
3/29	H	Athens Drive	3-	13	0.00
4/29	H	Wilmington Hoggard	0-	12	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	72.		Natl CCR Rank	2481
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	71.75		Natl Power Rank	2481
Natl SOS Rating	74.73		Natl SOS Rank	991
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.70		Natl Quality Win Rank	2558
W-L Pct Rating	0.08		W-L Pct Rank	2647
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-21.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.0


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