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Wootton Patriots (16-2)

Region: MD 43 West

State: MD

Coach: Colin Thomson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	OUR LADY-GOOD COUNSEL (16-5)	DC WCAC	94.2		L	9-	10		-0.325
3/29	LANGLEY (12-4)	VA Liberty	95.7		W	5-	4		0.225
4/01	at Blair (8-7)	MD 43 West	81.6		W	12-	2		0.000
4/07	at Churchill (10-4)	MD 43 West	93.0		W	11-	7		0.175
4/09	WALTER JOHNSON (10-5)	MD 43 West	91.1		W	12-	2		0.100
4/11	at Bethesda/Chevy Chase (14-3)	MD 43 West	94.3		W	12-	8		0.175
4/14	SPRINGBROOK (6-8)	MD 43 West	82.8		W	15-	1		0.000
4/15	WHITMAN (8-6)	MD 43 West	89.2		W	9-	5		0.025
4/19	at Magruder (5-8)	MD 43 North	80.2		W	18-	3		0.000
4/22	RICHARD MONTGOMERY (4-9)	MD 43 North	77.5		W	19-	2		0.000
4/25	BLAKE (3-10)	MD 43 West	78.0		W	19-	3		0.000
4/29	at Gaithersburg (14-3)	MD 43 North	94.2		W	13-	4		0.175
4/30	at Sherwood (8-6)	MD 43 West	88.4		W	12-	5		0.075
5/03	QUINCE ORCHARD (8-7)	MD 43 North	89.7		W	11-	4		0.100
5/10	SPRINGBROOK (6-8)	MD 43 West	82.8		W	12-	1		0.000
5/13	WALTER JOHNSON (10-5)	MD 43 West	91.1		W	10-	5		0.100
5/14	BETHESDA/CHEVY CHASE (14-3)	MD 43 West	94.3		W	12-	5		0.125
5/16	vs. Dulaney # (18-2)	MD 43 South	97.8	1	L	6-	9		-0.150
# Neutral site			84.3						0.80

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	Our Lady-Good Counsel	9-	10	-1	3	–	-1.33		-3.94
3/29	H	Langley	5-	4	1	1		-0.98		-0.09
4/01	A	Blair	12-	2	10	14	–	0.93	-3.87
4/07	A	Churchill	11-	7	4	3		0.93	0.60
4/09	H	Walter Johnson	12-	2	10	6	++	-0.93	4.28
4/11	A	Bethesda/Chevy Chase	12-	8	4	3		0.93	1.17
4/14	H	Springbrook	15-	1	14	14		-0.93	-0.29
4/15	H	Whitman	9-	5	4	9	––	-0.93	-4.76
4/19	A	Magruder	18-	3	15	15		0.93	-0.20
4/22	H	Richard Montgomery	19-	2	17	19		-0.93	-1.52
4/25	H	Blake	19-	3	16	18		-0.93	-1.60
4/29	A	Gaithersburg	13-	4	9	3	+++	0.93	6.38
4/30	A	Sherwood	12-	5	7	7		0.93	0.04
5/03	H	Quince Orchard	11-	4	7	6		-0.93	0.84
5/10	H	Springbrook	12-	1	11	14	–	-0.93	-3.29
5/13	H	Walter Johnson	10-	5	5	6		-0.93	-0.72
5/14	H	Bethesda/Chevy Chase	12-	5	7	5	+	-0.93	2.31
5/16	N	Dulaney	6-	9	-3	-4		0.00	0.60
									0.00	-4.03

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	A	Blair	12-	2	3.87
4/09	H	Walter Johnson	12-	2	0.00
4/14	H	Springbrook	15-	1	0.29
4/19	A	Magruder	18-	3	0.20
4/22	H	Richard Montgomery	19-	2	1.52
4/25	H	Blake	19-	3	1.60
5/10	H	Springbrook	12-	1	3.29
10-goal correction: 0.60

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	191
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.81		Natl Power Rank	191
Natl SOS Rating	75.36		Natl SOS Rank	924
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.80		Natl Quality Win Rank	364
W-L Pct Rating	0.89		W-L Pct Rank	94
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.0


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