| Region: VA Liberty | State: VA | Coach: Jon Fitzgerald |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/17 | at Chantilly (20-0) | VA Concord | 98.6 | 1 | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.075 |
3/26 | at Robinson (8-7) | VA Concord | 93.5 | 6 | L | 8- | 9 | 2ot | -0.225 |
3/31 | LANDON (18-4) | DC IAC | 98.7 | | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.150 |
4/01 | SOUTH LAKES (6-7) | VA Liberty | 87.7 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.050 |
4/08 | at Madison (10-5) | VA Liberty | 94.2 | 4 | L | 7- | 11 | | -0.200 |
4/10 | MCLEAN (6-6) | VA Liberty | 89.1 | | W | 16- | 7 | | 0.050 |
4/14 | STONE BRIDGE (4-10) | VA Liberty | 83.4 | | W | 18- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/17 | at Thos Jefferson (4-10) | VA Liberty | 87.0 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.100 |
4/24 | LANGLEY (12-4) | VA Liberty | 95.4 | 2 | W | 11- | 9 | | 0.275 |
4/26 | WESTFIELD (10-7) | VA Concord | 94.1 | 5 | L | 7- | 8 | ot | -0.250 |
4/29 | at Marshall (0-12) | VA Liberty | 78.1 | | W | 16- | 0 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | MARSHALL (0-12) | VA Liberty | 78.1 | | W | 19- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/07 | vs. Thos Jefferson # (4-10) | VA Liberty | 87.0 | | W | 9- | 3 | | 0.075 |
5/09 | vs. Langley # (12-4) | VA Liberty | 95.4 | 2 | L | 3- | 8 | | -0.200 |
5/14 | SOUTH COUNTY (6-6) | VA Patriot | 89.6 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.100 |
5/15 | at Chantilly (20-0) | VA Concord | 98.6 | 1 | L | 1- | 11 | | -0.075 |
| # Neutral site | | 89.3 | | | | | | -0.53 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/17 | A | Chantilly | 6- | 9 | -3 | -7 | + | 1.02 | 3.77 | |
3/26 | A | Robinson | 8- | 9 | -1 | -1 | | 1.02 | 0.33 | |
3/31 | H | Landon | 4- | 10 | -6 | -4 | | -1.24 | | -1.90 |
4/01 | H | South Lakes | 9- | 8 | 1 | 8 | ––– | -1.02 | -7.14 | |
4/08 | A | Madison | 7- | 11 | -4 | -2 | | 1.02 | -1.64 | |
4/10 | H | McLean | 16- | 7 | 9 | 8 | | -1.02 | 1.09 | |
4/14 | H | Stone Bridge | 18- | 3 | 15 | 12 | + | -1.02 | 2.76 | |
4/17 | A | Thos Jefferson | 12- | 6 | 6 | 6 | | 1.02 | -0.10 | |
4/24 | H | Langley | 11- | 9 | 2 | -1 | + | -1.02 | 3.23 | |
4/26 | H | Westfield | 7- | 8 | -1 | 0 | | -1.02 | -0.77 | |
4/29 | A | Marshall | 16- | 0 | 16 | 13 | + | 1.02 | 2.76 | |
5/05 | H | Marshall | 19- | 5 | 14 | 15 | | -1.02 | -1.29 | |
5/07 | N | Thos Jefferson | 9- | 3 | 6 | 7 | | 0.00 | -1.12 | |
5/09 | N | Langley | 3- | 8 | -5 | -2 | – | 0.00 | -2.74 | |
5/14 | H | South County | 14- | 4 | 10 | 6 | ++ | -1.02 | 4.09 | |
5/15 | A | Chantilly | 1- | 11 | -10 | -7 | – | 1.02 | -3.23 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -1.90 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/14 | H | Stone Bridge | 18- | 3 | -2.76 |
4/29 | A | Marshall | 16- | 0 | -2.76 |
5/05 | H | Marshall | 19- | 5 | 1.29 |
5/14 | H | South County | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
5/15 | A | Chantilly | 1- | 11 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.26 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 93. | | Natl CCR Rank | 392 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.39 | | Natl Power Rank | 392 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 85.40 | | Natl SOS Rank | 233 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.53 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2382 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.56 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1116 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.7 |
|
