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Worcester Academy Rams (7-6)

Region: NE East-1

State: MA

Coach: Kirk Upton

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Buckingham, B&N (7-10)	NE ISL	93.6		L	5-	17		-0.050
4/05	at Tabor Academy (10-7)	NE East-1	95.6		L	8-	18		-0.075
4/09	POMFRET (4-13)	NE East-1	88.1		L	9-	12		-0.200
4/11	at Wilbraham & Monson (4-9)	NE 2 West	80.3		W	14-	6		0.050
4/16	at Portsmouth Abbey (14-2)	NE EIL	95.7		L	6-	14		-0.100
4/23	at Waring (4-4)	NE East-2	80.7		W	15-	4		0.000
4/26	WINCHENDON (1-10)	NE East-2	82.2		W	15-	5		0.100
4/30	at Beaver Country Day (5-8)	NE EIL	80.4		W	24-	7		0.000
5/03	CHESHIRE ACADEMY (0-11)	NE 2 West	73.8		W	17-	3		0.000
5/07	PHILLIPS ANDOVER (10-5)	NE East-1	95.7	10	L	3-	9		-0.050
5/12	HYDE-WOODSTOCK (12-8)	NE SENE	84.6		W	13-	9		0.100
5/14	at Cushing Academy (9-8)	NE East-1	91.1		L	9-	15		-0.175
5/17	MOSES BROWN (4-12)	NE East-1	90.8		W	13-	12		0.325
			85.2						-0.07

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Buckingham, B&N	5-	17	-12	-8	––	0.34	-4.46
4/05	A	Tabor Academy	8-	18	-10	-7	–	0.34	-2.55
4/09	H	Pomfret	9-	12	-3	-2		-0.34	-1.44
4/11	A	Wilbraham & Monson	14-	6	8	8		0.18		-0.25
4/16	A	Portsmouth Abbey	6-	14	-8	-6	–	0.34	-2.46
4/23	A	Waring	15-	4	11	11		0.34	0.28
4/26	H	Winchendon	15-	5	10	6	+	-0.34	3.76
4/30	A	Beaver Country Day	24-	7	17	11	++	0.34	5.98
5/03	H	Cheshire Academy	17-	3	14	15		-0.18		-1.08
5/07	H	Phillips Andover	3-	9	-6	-8		-0.34	1.82
5/12	H	Hyde-Woodstock	13-	9	4	6		-0.34	-1.57
5/14	A	Cushing Academy	9-	15	-6	-3	–	0.34	-2.92
5/17	H	Moses Brown	13-	12	1	-3	+	-0.34	3.58
									0.00	-1.33

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	A	Buckingham, B&N	5-	17	2.00
4/05	A	Tabor Academy	8-	18	0.00
4/23	A	Waring	15-	4	-0.28
4/26	H	Winchendon	15-	5	0.00
4/30	A	Beaver Country Day	24-	7	-5.98
5/03	H	Cheshire Academy	17-	3	1.08
10-goal correction: -0.24

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	863
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.70		Natl Power Rank	863
Natl SOS Rating	77.30		Natl SOS Rank	730
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.07		Natl Quality Win Rank	1567
W-L Pct Rating	0.54		W-L Pct Rank	1187
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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