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Warwick Valley Wildcats (10-9)

Region: NY A Sec 9State: NYCoach: Graig McElroy

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
4/02NEWBURGH FREE ACADEMY (1-15)NY A Sec 967.1W16- 3 0.000  
4/03HIGHLAND (2-13)NY C Sec 960.5W18- 2 0.000  
4/05at Saugerties (18-2)NY B Sec 988.53L7- 8 -0.225  
4/09MONROE-WOODBURY (8-8)NY A Sec 976.08L6- 7ot-0.375  
4/10at Jefferson Twp (18-4)NJ Grp-II97.4L1-12 0.000  
4/12at Kingston (12-6)NY A Sec 983.05W13- 7 0.250  
4/14at Red Hook (9-10)NY C Sec 970.610W15- 4 0.025  
4/15at Pine Bush (14-3)NY A Sec 989.32L2- 7 -0.175  
4/18MINISINK VALLEY (14-6)NY A Sec 985.24L3- 6 -0.275  
4/25at Middletown (3-15)NY A Sec 964.6W15- 2 0.000  
4/29at Roosevelt Hyde Park (6-12)NY A Sec 972.59W12- 2 0.075  
5/02WASHINGTONVILLE (5-11)NY A Sec 968.1W20- 2 0.000  
5/05at Valley Central (19-2)NY A Sec 991.01L11-12 -0.200  
5/07at Washingtonville (5-11)NY A Sec 968.1W16- 2 0.000  
5/12at Minisink Valley (14-6)NY A Sec 985.24L6- 8 -0.250  
5/14ROOSEVELT HYDE PARK (6-12)NY A Sec 972.59W12- 5 0.025  
5/17WALLKILL (7-10)NY B Sec 970.4W18- 3 0.000  
5/19VALLEY CENTRAL (19-2)NY A Sec 991.01L5-11 -0.250  
5/29at Minisink Valley (14-6)NY A Sec 985.24L10-13 -0.250  
 83.5     -1.62  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/02HNewburgh Free Academy16-313   11       -0.90       1.65
4/03HHighland18-216   18       -0.90       -1.89
4/05ASaugerties7-8-1   -1       0.90       0.39
4/09HMonroe-Woodbury6-7-1   5       –––-0.90       -6.43
4/10AJefferson Twp1-12-11   -19       +++1.13       7.97
4/12AKingston13-76   0       +++0.90       6.27
4/14ARed Hook15-411   9       0.90       1.95
4/15APine Bush2-7-5   -3       0.90       -2.22
4/18HMinisink Valley3-6-3   1       ––-0.90       -4.35
4/25AMiddletown15-213   13       0.90       0.18
4/29ARoosevelt Hyde Park12-210   7       +0.90       3.15
5/02HWashingtonville20-218   13       ++-0.90       4.97
5/05AValley Central11-12-1   -2       0.90       0.93
5/07AWashingtonville16-214   11       +0.90       2.77
5/12AMinisink Valley6-8-2   0       0.90       -1.55
5/14HRoosevelt Hyde Park12-57   9       -0.90       -1.65
5/17HWallkill18-315   11       ++-0.90       4.26
5/19HValley Central5-11-6   0       ––-0.90       -5.87
5/29AMinisink Valley10-13-3   0       0.90       -2.55
         0.007.97

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/02HNewburgh Free Academy16-3-1.65
4/03HHighland18-21.89
4/10AJefferson Twp1-12-7.97
4/14ARed Hook15-4-1.00
4/25AMiddletown15-2-0.18
4/29ARoosevelt Hyde Park12-20.00
5/02HWashingtonville20-2-4.97
5/07AWashingtonville16-2-2.77
5/17HWallkill18-3-4.26
10-goal correction: -1.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 80.   Natl CCR Rank 1817
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 79.54   Natl Power Rank 1817
Natl SOS Rating 74.11   Natl SOS Rank 1052
Natl Quality Win Rating -1.62   Natl Quality Win Rank 2924
W-L Pct Rating 0.53   W-L Pct Rank 1274
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-7   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -1.9
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-8   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 10-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 5.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.0



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