High School Computer Ratings

Warwick Warriors (17-6)

Region: PA LL04

State: PA

Coach: Edgar Lobley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/20	NORTHERN YORK BLACK (8-6)	PA Mid 1	86.2		W	10-	2		0.075
3/25	at Conestoga Valley (4-15)	PA LL04	82.1		W	12-	5		0.025
3/27	at Central Dauphin (7-9)	PA Mid 1	82.6		W	14-	4		0.000
3/28	at North Allegheny (15-3)	PA 1DNORTH	95.8		L	7-	10		-0.175
3/29	at Seneca Valley (14-6)	PA 1DNORTH	94.8		W	9-	7		0.300
4/03	at Elizabethtown (3-11)	PA LL04	79.1		W	12-	4		0.000
4/05	at Penn Charter (16-12)	PA IAC	97.1		L	3-	16		-0.150
4/08	at Carlisle (14-7)	PA Mid 1	89.5	7	W	8-	6		0.175
4/10	EPHRATA (8-12)	PA LL04	82.6		W	9-	5		0.000
4/11	DOWNINGTOWN WEST (9-12)	PA Suburb	94.3		W	4-	3		0.250
4/15	PENN MANOR (12-9)	PA LL04	89.5	8	W	8-	3		0.175
4/17	CUMBERLAND VALLEY (14-5)	PA Mid 1	92.6	4	W	9-	5		0.250
4/18	at Hill School (11-5)	PA Indep	96.1		L	4-	17		-0.150
4/22	at Lampeter-Strasburg (18-7)	PA LL04	91.7	6	W	8-	7		0.250
4/24	at Cocalico (9-6)	PA LL04	87.7		W	11-	7		0.125
4/26	PARKLAND (11-6)	PA PVLL-LV	94.1		W	9-	8	2ot	0.250
5/06	at Hempfield (13-12)	PA LL04	92.2	5	W	11-	9		0.325
5/12	MANHEIM TOWNSHIP (19-9)	PA LL04	94.9	2	L	10-	12		-0.225
5/15	HEMPFIELD (13-12)	PA LL04	92.2	5	W	9-	6		0.300
5/17	at Manheim Township (19-9)	PA LL04	94.9	2	L	3-	11		-0.200
5/21	HERSHEY (9-7)	PA Mid 1	84.4		W	17-	8		0.075
5/23	at South-Western (11-6)	PA York 1	88.9	9	W	10-	5		0.150
5/28	at Cumberland Valley (14-5)	PA Mid 1	92.6	4	L	8-	10		-0.250
			89.5						1.57

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	Northern York Black	10-	2	8	7		-0.28	1.09
3/25	A	Conestoga Valley	12-	5	7	9		0.28	-1.58
3/27	A	Central Dauphin	14-	4	10	10		0.28	0.50
3/28	A	North Allegheny	7-	10	-3	-3		0.70		0.08
3/29	A	Seneca Valley	9-	7	2	-2	++	0.70		4.17
4/03	A	Elizabethtown	12-	4	8	11	–	0.28	-3.33
4/05	A	Penn Charter	3-	16	-13	-4	–––	0.77		-8.51
4/08	A	Carlisle	8-	6	2	3		0.28	-0.88
4/10	H	Ephrata	9-	5	4	10	––	-0.28	-5.66
4/11	H	Downingtown West	4-	3	1	0		-0.77		1.12
4/15	H	Penn Manor	8-	3	5	3		-0.28	1.81
4/17	H	Cumberland Valley	9-	5	4	0	+	-0.28	3.80
4/18	A	Hill School	4-	17	-13	-4	–––	0.77		-9.46
4/22	A	Lampeter-Strasburg	8-	7	1	0		0.28	1.05
4/24	A	Cocalico	11-	7	4	5		0.28	-1.05
4/26	H	Parkland	9-	8	1	0		-0.77		0.98
5/06	A	Hempfield	11-	9	2	-3	++	0.28	4.56
5/12	H	Manheim Township	10-	12	-2	-1		-0.28	-0.60
5/15	H	Hempfield	9-	6	3	-2	++	-0.28	4.99
5/17	A	Manheim Township	3-	11	-8	-2	–––	0.28	-6.03
5/21	H	Hershey	17-	8	9	7		-0.28	1.78
5/23	A	South-Western	10-	5	5	4		0.28	1.20
5/28	A	Cumberland Valley	8-	10	-2	0		0.28	-1.64
									0.00	-11.61