High School Computer Ratings

R.J. Reynolds Demons (9-8)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Jim O'Neill

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/29	at Ragsdale-Jamestown (7-12)	NC 3A/2A	71.9		W	11-	1		0.100
3/05	at Greensboro Grimsley (12-7)	NC 4A	86.8		L	2-	15		-0.100
3/10	at NorthWest Guilford (6-9)	NC 4A	80.9		L	4-	8		-0.225
3/14	MOUNT TABOR (6-8)	NC 4A	79.8		W	8-	7	ot	0.225
3/17	at Forsyth Cou Day (7-10)	NC Prvate	82.5		L	3-	6		-0.150
3/21	at SouthEast Guilford (15-5)	NC 3A/2A	81.6		W	9-	8		0.275
3/26	at West Forsyth (1-13)	NC 4A	64.5		W	14-	4		0.000
3/27	at Reagan (6-12)	NC 3A/2A	70.2		W	17-	3		0.000
4/10	WESTERN ALAMANCE (10-8)	NC 3A/2A	78.8		W	13-	9		0.175
4/15	GREENSBORO GRIMSLEY (12-7)	NC 4A	86.8		L	6-	11		-0.175
4/18	at Mount Tabor (6-8)	NC 4A	79.8		L	6-	7	2ot	-0.225
4/22	NORTHWEST GUILFORD (6-9)	NC 4A	80.9		L	5-	7		-0.300
4/25	WEST FORSYTH (1-13)	NC 4A	64.5		W	15-	0		0.000
4/28	REAGAN (6-12)	NC 3A/2A	70.2		W	22-	2		0.000
4/30	SOUTHWEST GUILFORD (13-8)	NC 3A/2A	75.5		W	5-	2		0.075
5/02	at Durham Riverside (5-16)	NC 4A	81.1		L	5-	8		-0.175
5/06	at Apex (20-4)	NC 4A	91.6	3	L	3-	11		0.000
			80.6						-0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	A	Ragsdale-Jamestown	11-	1	10	6	+	1.35	3.94
3/05	A	Greensboro Grimsley	2-	15	-13	-6	–––	1.35	-7.39
3/10	A	NorthWest Guilford	4-	8	-4	-1	–	1.35	-2.84
3/14	H	Mount Tabor	8-	7	1	1		-1.35	-0.38
3/17	A	Forsyth Cou Day	3-	6	-3	-4		1.45		0.97
3/21	A	SouthEast Guilford	9-	8	1	-1	+	1.35	2.46
3/26	A	West Forsyth	14-	4	10	13	–	1.35	-2.73
3/27	A	Reagan	17-	3	14	10	++	1.35	4.37
4/10	H	Western Alamance	13-	9	4	3		-1.35	1.34
4/15	H	Greensboro Grimsley	6-	11	-5	-3	–	-1.35	-2.08
4/18	A	Mount Tabor	6-	7	-1	-1		1.35	0.31
4/22	H	NorthWest Guilford	5-	7	-2	2	–	-1.35	-3.53
4/25	H	West Forsyth	15-	0	15	15		-1.35	-0.42
4/28	H	Reagan	22-	2	20	12	+++	-1.35	7.68
4/30	H	SouthWest Guilford	5-	2	3	7	–	-1.35	-3.61
5/02	A	Durham Riverside	5-	8	-3	-3		1.35	0.50
5/06	A	Apex	3-	11	-8	-10	+	1.35	2.39
									0.00	0.97