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Waterford Lancers (3-12)

Conference: ECIAC

Region: CT S

State: CT

Coach: Chris Landry

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/08	NORWICH FREE ACADEMY (11-7)	CT L	88.5		L	7-	13		-0.050
4/10	at East Lyme (16-4)	CT M	94.0		L	0-	14		0.000
4/15	at Morgan-Clinton (9-7)	CT S	85.4		L	3-	12		-0.075
4/17	WILLIAMS (10-4)	NE East-2	87.5		L	4-	9		-0.025
4/22	STONINGTON (7-11)	CT S	83.3		L	8-	11		-0.175
4/24	WHEELER-NO STONINGTON (3-13)	CT S	72.3		W	7-	1		0.125
4/26	WINDSOR (10-8)	CT L	89.2		L	6-	16		-0.025
5/01	LEWIS MILLS-BURLINGTON (8-9)	CT S	78.3		L	3-	5		-0.325
5/06	FITCH-GROTON (5-10)	CT M	79.6		L	7-	12		-0.275
5/12	at Ledyard (11-7)	CT M	86.7		L	9-	18		-0.025
5/13	at Saint Bernard (6-10)	CT S	75.6		W	11-	6		0.200
5/16	vs. Ledyard # (11-7)	CT M	86.7		L	6-	8		-0.075
5/17	at South Windsor (8-10)	CT L	85.2		L	8-	14		-0.075
5/19	OLD SAYBROOK (9-8)	CT S	79.2		W	10-	6		0.200
5/21	at Woodstock Academy (9-8)	CT M	80.2		L	8-	10		-0.225
# Neutral site			77.5						-0.82

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/08	H	Norwich Free Academy	7-	13	-6	-8		-1.20	1.52
4/10	A	East Lyme	0-	14	-14	-15		1.20	0.96
4/15	A	Morgan-Clinton	3-	12	-9	-7		1.20	-1.79
4/17	H	Williams	4-	9	-5	-9	++	-0.77		4.28
4/22	H	Stonington	8-	11	-3	-3		-1.20	0.06
4/24	H	Wheeler-No Stonington	7-	1	6	5		-1.20	0.84
4/26	H	Windsor	6-	16	-10	-9		-1.20	-0.90
5/01	H	Lewis Mills-Burlington	3-	5	-2	3	––	-1.20	-4.93
5/06	H	Fitch-Groton	7-	12	-5	1	––	-1.20	-5.54
5/12	A	Ledyard	9-	18	-9	-9		1.20	-0.46
5/13	A	Saint Bernard	11-	6	5	2	+	1.20	2.77
5/16	N	Ledyard	6-	8	-2	-7	++	0.00	5.33
5/17	A	South Windsor	8-	14	-6	-7		1.20	1.14
5/19	H	Old Saybrook	10-	6	4	2	+	-1.20	2.17
5/21	A	Woodstock Academy	8-	10	-2	-1		1.20	-1.16
									0.00	4.28

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	East Lyme	0-	14	-0.96
4/26	H	Windsor	6-	16	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2065
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.44		Natl Power Rank	2065
Natl SOS Rating	62.88		Natl SOS Rank	2170
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.82		Natl Quality Win Rank	2662
W-L Pct Rating	0.20		W-L Pct Rank	2353
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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