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Western Guilford Hornets (13-4)

Region: NC 3A/2A

State: NC

Coach: Dirk Lambertson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/05	at NorthEast Guilford (2-15)	NC 3A/2A	63.4		W	19-	0		0.000
3/07	EASTERN GUILFORD (2-13)	NC 3A/2A	67.7		W	24-	2		0.000
3/12	GREENSBORO GRIMSLEY (12-7)	NC 4A	86.8		W	10-	6		0.225
3/14	at Charlotte Catholic (20-0)	NC 3A/2A	95.1	2	L	5-	17		-0.050
3/20	at Western Alamance (10-8)	NC 3A/2A	78.8		W	12-	5		0.150
4/02	BISHOP MCGUINNESS (7-8)	NC 3A/2A	75.0		W	11-	1		0.000
4/08	at Greensboro Page (13-3)	NC 4A	89.7	5	L	8-	11		-0.100
4/10	at Durham Riverside (5-16)	NC 4A	81.1		W	11-	9		0.225
4/11	NORTHEAST GUILFORD (2-15)	NC 3A/2A	63.4		W	29-	1		0.000
4/15	RAGSDALE-JAMESTOWN (7-12)	NC 3A/2A	71.9		W	13-	4		0.000
4/18	at Greensboro Grimsley (12-7)	NC 4A	86.8		L	11-	12		-0.200
4/22	at Eastern Guilford (2-13)	NC 3A/2A	67.7		W	20-	2		0.000
4/23	WESTERN ALAMANCE (10-8)	NC 3A/2A	78.8		W	10-	9	ot	0.075
4/25	NORTHWEST GUILFORD (6-9)	NC 4A	80.9		W	10-	5		0.100
5/01	at Forsyth Cou Day (7-10)	NC Prvate	82.5		W	10-	8		0.175
5/09	RAGSDALE-JAMESTOWN (7-12)	NC 3A/2A	71.9		W	15-	4		0.000
5/14	at Charlotte Catholic (20-0)	NC 3A/2A	95.1	2	L	3-	16		-0.050
			80.7						0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/05	A	NorthEast Guilford	19-	0	19	19		1.35	-0.31
3/07	H	Eastern Guilford	24-	2	22	19	+	-1.35	3.09
3/12	H	Greensboro Grimsley	10-	6	4	1	+	-1.35	2.89
3/14	A	Charlotte Catholic	5-	17	-12	-8	–	1.35	-3.83
3/20	A	Western Alamance	12-	5	7	4	+	1.35	3.00
4/02	H	Bishop McGuinness	11-	1	10	11		-1.35	-0.71
4/08	A	Greensboro Page	8-	11	-3	-6	+	1.35	2.69
4/10	A	Durham Riverside	11-	9	2	1		1.35	1.47
4/11	H	NorthEast Guilford	29-	1	28	22	++	-1.35	6.00
4/15	H	Ragsdale-Jamestown	13-	4	9	13	–	-1.35	-3.78
4/18	A	Greensboro Grimsley	11-	12	-1	-2		1.35	0.58
4/22	A	Eastern Guilford	20-	2	18	16		1.35	1.78
4/23	H	Western Alamance	10-	9	1	7	––	-1.35	-5.69
4/25	H	NorthWest Guilford	10-	5	5	6		-1.35	-0.56
5/01	A	Forsyth Cou Day	10-	8	2	3		1.45		-1.01
5/09	H	Ragsdale-Jamestown	15-	4	11	13		-1.35	-1.78
5/14	A	Charlotte Catholic	3-	16	-13	-8	––	1.35	-4.83
									0.00	-1.01

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/05	A	NorthEast Guilford	19-	0	0.31
3/07	H	Eastern Guilford	24-	2	-3.09
3/14	A	Charlotte Catholic	5-	17	2.00
4/02	H	Bishop McGuinness	11-	1	0.71
4/11	H	NorthEast Guilford	29-	1	-6.00
4/22	A	Eastern Guilford	20-	2	-1.78
5/09	H	Ragsdale-Jamestown	15-	4	1.78
5/14	A	Charlotte Catholic	3-	16	3.00
10-goal correction: -0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1099
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.93		Natl Power Rank	1099
Natl SOS Rating	69.81		Natl SOS Rank	1489
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.55		Natl Quality Win Rank	590
W-L Pct Rating	0.76		W-L Pct Rank	372
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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