Fri Sep 12 07:22:16 EDT 2008
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat- ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the games, the power rating error was within 1 goal. Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference <1 <2 <3 <4 <5 >5 AL 3.20 56 13 12 7 7 5 12 CC 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 AR 2.97 87 22 18 14 10 7 16 AZ 3.17 69 16 8 17 7 8 13 CA North CIF 2.88 558 124 126 81 73 65 89 CA North Club 2.47 204 45 53 41 31 18 16 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CA Sou CIF 2.79 404 94 92 84 36 32 66 CA San Diego CIF 2.76 327 78 71 54 38 30 56 CO 3.08 402 82 87 64 52 45 72 CT CIAC 3.00 700 164 132 121 84 71 129 CT II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 DE 2.77 324 67 80 48 41 37 51 FL Central 3.34 327 58 66 56 50 33 64 FL South 3.11 169 36 39 24 15 24 31 FL Club 3.10 413 97 80 51 70 35 80 GA 3.17 388 75 78 62 56 37 80 GA Club 2.65 22 4 6 5 2 2 3 NY Sec 6 Club 3.28 38 7 5 9 6 5 6 ID 2.50 125 34 28 30 12 6 15 IL I 2.75 440 110 91 71 59 47 62 IL II 21.21 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 IN 3.14 212 45 34 45 26 24 40 KA 3.44 43 9 7 7 6 5 9 KY 2.90 160 36 34 25 26 9 31 LA 3.28 40 6 9 12 3 1 9 ME 2.73 280 65 53 60 41 24 37 MD-Miaa-A/IAC 5.18 232 28 23 29 32 22 98 MD-Miaa-B 3.51 86 14 17 11 14 7 23 MD-Miaa-C 3.22 78 19 15 7 11 9 17 MD-Mil,MAC,WCAC 3.79 308 47 61 56 29 28 87 MD 4321 2.82 1022 229 219 178 134 113 150 MA East 2.72 1261 314 257 219 182 96 193 MA Cent 2.90 190 33 38 38 36 17 28 MA West 3.31 127 27 18 26 18 7 31 MI 4.20 751 146 141 123 87 72 183 MI 2 11.16 122 17 11 9 7 5 73 MI 3 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MI Club 2.98 263 73 41 36 34 25 54 MN 3.18 150 34 29 21 22 10 34 MO 3.59 257 59 33 45 30 21 69 NE 3.03 40 8 8 8 5 6 5 NE/East,North,ISL 2.78 435 88 102 83 59 41 62 NE/West I 2.94 119 21 27 28 15 9 19 NE/West II/III 3.16 244 48 42 46 35 23 51 NH I/II/III 2.74 364 86 92 53 50 31 54 NJ 2.85 1405 313 293 249 171 161 218 NV 3.69 97 16 16 8 21 11 25 NM 14.00 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 NY-Wch-City 3.47 288 59 60 39 30 24 76 NY-Catholic 3.51 73 8 15 14 11 8 17 NY-Sect 1 3.01 446 83 94 85 64 43 77 NY-Sect 2 3.42 237 37 48 46 30 20 57 NY-Sect 3 3.23 429 77 95 70 48 43 96 NY-Sect 4 2.98 177 29 40 33 25 19 32 NY-Sect 5 3.02 319 65 64 54 49 31 56 NY-Sect 6 3.07 313 73 48 47 47 36 62 NY-Sect 8 2.95 451 93 89 82 64 50 73 NY-Sect 9 2.91 160 41 33 28 15 17 26 NY-Sect 10 3.00 80 18 17 13 13 7 12 NY-Sect 11 2.85 411 83 84 81 59 44 60 NC Pub 3.15 499 95 100 82 76 53 93 NC Pri 3.76 144 27 23 24 16 16 38 NC Club 5.26 30 5 7 4 3 1 11 ND 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OH I 3.51 407 77 75 63 52 35 105 OH II 3.73 386 68 62 57 48 39 112 OH IIIA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OH III 3.82 248 38 48 34 29 24 75 OK 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OR 2.85 385 82 82 75 52 35 59 PA PSLA 3.06 999 214 190 178 135 90 194 PA Independent 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PA West 2.94 345 60 85 63 52 30 56 PA Central 3.30 406 87 80 67 46 32 94 Rhode Island 2.75 160 44 38 22 25 12 20 SC 3.39 185 34 40 30 24 13 44 TN D1 3.29 106 18 16 19 17 13 23 TN D2 3.08 140 26 27 27 15 19 26 TX 1 3.66 254 46 44 40 31 27 66 TX 2 3.56 333 60 60 48 46 35 84 UT 2.89 290 71 52 43 51 30 43 VT I 3.91 129 21 29 17 9 12 41 VT II 4.13 124 23 19 18 10 15 39 VA Northern AAA 2.98 243 60 39 42 39 23 40 VA/Northwest AAA 3.79 208 39 32 34 39 17 47 VA Private I 4.07 96 16 16 15 10 9 30 VA II-III Indep AA 3.67 160 28 31 23 20 17 41 4.60 174 28 28 18 21 9 70 VA AAA East-Indep 3.72 189 43 33 21 31 19 43 WA I 3.16 151 33 29 19 27 11 32 WA II 2.98 153 28 36 17 29 19 24 WI 2.77 200 41 42 47 28 14 29 VA Priv III 3.77 110 22 14 20 14 9 31 CANADA 2.58 296 84 60 51 39 26 36 WY 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WV 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 2.99 22095 4842 4526 3786 2986 2138 3834 total games............... = 22095 ave error (goals)......... = 2.99 total upsets.............. = 7116 % of games within 1 goal.. = 21.91 % of games within 2 goals. = 42.40 % of games within 3 goals. = 59.53 % of games within 4 goals. = 73.05 % of games within 5 goals. = 82.72 % of games > 5 goals. = 17.35
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