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Tue Jul 15 08:29:51 EDT 2008
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average
Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings
predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for
all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on
average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat-
ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown
under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this
means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the
games, the power rating error was within 1 goal.
Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR
Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference
<1 <2 <3 <4 <5 >5
AL 3.20 56 13 12 7 7 5 12
CC 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
AR 2.97 87 22 18 14 10 7 16
AZ 3.17 69 16 8 17 7 8 13
CA North CIF 2.88 558 124 126 81 73 65 89
CA North Club 2.47 204 45 53 41 31 18 16
0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CA Sou CIF 2.79 404 94 92 84 36 32 66
CA San Diego CIF 2.76 327 78 71 54 38 30 56
CO 3.08 402 82 87 64 52 45 72
CT CIAC 3.00 700 164 132 121 84 71 129
CT II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DE 2.77 324 67 80 48 41 37 51
FL Central 3.34 327 58 66 56 50 33 64
FL South 3.11 169 36 39 24 15 24 31
FL Club 3.10 413 97 80 51 70 35 80
GA 3.17 388 75 78 62 56 37 80
GA Club 2.65 22 4 6 5 2 2 3
NY Sec 6 Club 3.28 38 7 5 9 6 5 6
ID 2.50 125 34 28 30 12 6 15
IL I 2.75 440 110 91 71 59 47 62
IL II 21.21 2 0 0 0 0 0 2
IN 3.14 212 45 34 45 26 24 40
KA 3.44 43 9 7 7 6 5 9
KY 2.90 160 36 34 25 26 9 31
LA 3.28 40 6 9 12 3 1 9
ME 2.73 279 67 50 59 41 26 36
MD-Miaa-A/IAC 5.18 232 28 23 29 32 22 98
MD-Miaa-B 3.51 86 14 17 11 14 7 23
MD-Miaa-C 3.22 78 19 15 7 11 9 17
MD-Mil,MAC,WCAC 3.79 308 47 61 56 29 28 87
MD 4321 2.82 1022 229 219 178 134 113 150
MA East 2.72 1261 314 257 219 182 96 193
MA Cent 2.90 190 33 38 38 36 17 28
MA West 3.31 127 27 18 26 18 7 31
MI 4.20 751 146 141 123 87 72 183
MI 2 11.16 122 17 11 9 7 5 73
MI 3 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MI Club 2.98 263 73 41 36 34 25 54
MN 3.18 150 34 29 21 22 10 34
MO 3.59 257 59 33 45 30 21 69
NE 3.03 40 8 8 8 5 6 5
NE/East,North,ISL 2.78 435 88 102 83 59 41 62
NE/West I 2.94 119 21 27 28 15 9 19
NE/West II/III 3.16 244 48 42 46 35 23 51
NH I/II/III 2.74 364 86 92 53 50 31 54
NJ 2.85 1405 313 293 249 171 161 218
NV 3.69 97 16 16 8 21 11 25
NM 14.00 2 0 0 0 0 0 2
NY-Wch-City 3.47 288 59 60 39 30 24 76
NY-Catholic 3.51 73 8 15 14 11 8 17
NY-Sect 1 3.01 446 83 94 85 64 43 77
NY-Sect 2 3.42 237 37 48 46 30 20 57
NY-Sect 3 3.23 429 77 95 70 48 43 96
NY-Sect 4 2.98 177 29 40 33 25 19 32
NY-Sect 5 3.02 319 65 64 54 49 31 56
NY-Sect 6 3.07 313 73 48 47 47 36 62
NY-Sect 8 2.95 451 93 89 82 64 50 73
NY-Sect 9 2.91 160 41 33 28 15 17 26
NY-Sect 10 3.00 80 18 17 13 13 7 12
NY-Sect 11 2.85 411 83 84 81 59 44 60
NC Pub 3.15 499 95 100 82 76 53 93
NC Pri 3.76 144 27 23 24 16 16 38
NC Club 5.26 30 5 7 4 3 1 11
ND 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OH I 3.51 407 77 75 63 52 35 105
OH II 3.73 386 68 62 57 48 39 112
OH IIIA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OH III 3.82 248 38 48 34 29 24 75
OK 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OR 2.85 385 82 82 75 52 35 59
PA PSLA 3.06 999 214 190 178 135 90 194
PA Independent 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PA West 2.94 345 60 85 63 52 30 56
PA Central 3.30 406 87 80 67 46 32 94
Rhode Island 2.75 160 44 38 22 25 12 20
SC 3.39 185 34 40 30 24 13 44
TN D1 3.29 106 18 16 19 17 13 23
TN D2 3.08 140 26 27 27 15 19 26
TX 1 3.66 254 46 44 40 31 27 66
TX 2 3.56 333 60 60 48 46 35 84
UT 2.89 290 71 52 43 51 30 43
VT I 3.91 129 21 29 17 9 12 41
VT II 4.13 124 23 19 18 10 15 39
VA Northern AAA 2.98 243 60 39 42 39 23 40
VA/Northwest AAA 3.79 208 39 32 34 39 17 47
VA Private I 4.07 96 16 16 15 10 9 30
VA II-III Indep AA 3.67 160 28 31 23 20 17 41
4.60 174 28 28 18 21 9 70
VA AAA East-Indep 3.72 189 43 33 21 31 19 43
WA I 3.16 151 33 29 19 27 11 32
WA II 2.98 153 28 36 17 29 19 24
WI 2.77 200 41 42 47 28 14 29
VA Priv III 3.77 110 22 14 20 14 9 31
CANADA 2.58 296 84 60 51 39 26 36
WY 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WV 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL 2.99 22094 4844 4523 3785 2986 2140 3833
total games............... = 22094
ave error (goals)......... = 2.99
total upsets.............. = 7113
% of games within 1 goal.. = 21.92
% of games within 2 goals. = 42.40
% of games within 3 goals. = 59.53
% of games within 4 goals. = 73.04
% of games within 5 goals. = 82.73
% of games > 5 goals. = 17.35
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