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Ann Arbor-Pioneer Pioneers (12-6 - 3)

Region: MI DI

State: MI

Coach: Jeff Holden

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	TECUMSEH (4-6)	MI DII	55.8		W	15-	5		0.000
3/29	at Ann Arbor-Huron (5-7)	MI DI	63.2		W	9-	8		0.200
3/31	HASLETT CLUB (0-7)	MI Club	52.7		W	15-	2		0.000
4/14	BIRMINGHAM UNITED (17-5)	MI DI	76.3	1	L	4-	15		-0.100
4/16	at East Lansing (6-7)	MI DII	59.9		W	14-	6		0.100
4/18	OKEMOS (15-2)	MI DII	72.4	4	L	4-	9		-0.150
4/21	at Grosse Pointe South (8-7)	MI DI	69.0	7	W	10-	8		0.375
4/23	CRANBROOK KINGSWOOD (7-7)	MI DII	68.2	10	L	10-	11		-0.200
4/25	HOLT (2-11)	MI DI	54.0		W	15-	5		0.000
4/30	DETROIT COUNTRY DAY (9-9)	MI DII	67.4		T	14-	14		0.000
5/02	at Waverly-LC-GL United (12-6)	MI DI	64.3		T	9-	9		0.000
5/03	at Brighton, MI (12-6)	MI DI	65.5		W	11-	10		0.275
5/05	at Sacred Heart Acad, MI (13-6)	MI DII	71.4	6	L	4-	9		-0.125
5/07	SOUTH LYON UNITED (22-1)	MI DI	71.7	5	T	7-	7		0.000
5/10	at Bloomfield Hills-Lahse (6-9)	MI DI	55.4		W	16-	5		0.000
5/14	at Holt (2-11)	MI DI	54.0		W	14-	6		0.000
5/16	ANN ARBOR-HURON (5-7)	MI DI	63.2		W	14-	9		0.150
5/17	vs. Okemos # (15-2)	MI DII	72.4	4	L	4-	15		-0.125
5/23	at Farmington United (5-7)	MI DI	54.7		W	16-	3		0.000
5/27	vs. Ann Arbor-Huron # (5-7)	MI DI	63.2		W	20-	8		0.175
5/31	vs. South Lyon United # (22-1)	MI DI	71.7	5	L	3-	12		-0.175
# Neutral site			66.2						0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	H	Tecumseh	15-	5	10	12		-1.10	-1.77
3/29	A	Ann Arbor-Huron	9-	8	1	2		1.10	-0.99
3/31	H	Haslett Club	15-	2	13	16	–	-1.37		-2.72
4/14	H	Birmingham United	4-	15	-11	-6	––	-1.10	-4.63
4/16	A	East Lansing	14-	6	8	6		1.10	1.96
4/18	H	Okemos	4-	9	-5	-4		-1.10	-1.43
4/21	A	Grosse Pointe South	10-	8	2	-5	+++	1.10	6.61
4/23	H	Cranbrook Kingswood	10-	11	-1	-2		-1.10	1.30
4/25	H	Holt	15-	5	10	13	–	-1.10	-2.73
4/30	H	Detroit Country Day	14-	14	0	0		-1.10	0.41
5/02	A	Waverly-LC-GL United	9-	9	0	2		1.10	-1.79
5/03	A	Brighton, MI	11-	10	1	-1		1.10	1.97
5/05	A	Sacred Heart Acad, MI	4-	9	-5	-5		1.10	0.30
5/07	H	South Lyon United	7-	7	0	-2	+	-1.10	2.36
5/10	A	Bloomfield Hills-Lahse	16-	5	11	10		1.10	0.84
5/14	A	Holt	14-	6	8	11	–	1.10	-2.53
5/16	H	Ann Arbor-Huron	14-	9	5	4		-1.10	0.81
5/17	N	Okemos	4-	15	-11	-5	–––	0.00	-6.33
5/23	A	Farmington United	16-	3	13	11	+	1.10	2.28
5/27	N	Ann Arbor-Huron	20-	8	12	3	+++	0.00	8.91
5/31	N	South Lyon United	3-	12	-9	-3	––	0.00	-5.54
									0.00	-2.72

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	H	Tecumseh	15-	5	1.77
3/31	H	Haslett Club	15-	2	2.72
4/14	H	Birmingham United	4-	15	1.00
4/25	H	Holt	15-	5	2.73
5/10	A	Bloomfield Hills-Lahse	16-	5	-0.84
5/17	N	Okemos	4-	15	1.00
5/23	A	Farmington United	16-	3	-2.28
5/27	N	Ann Arbor-Huron	20-	8	-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	67.		Natl CCR Rank	1250
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	67.05		Natl Power Rank	1250
Natl SOS Rating	54.53		Natl SOS Rank	1568
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	541
W-L Pct Rating	0.64		W-L Pct Rank	628
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.3


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