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Agawam Brownies (15-7)

Region: MA West D1State: MACoach: Carla Warner

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
4/01WEST SPRINGFIELD, MA (3-11)MA West D155.1W15- 4 0.000  
4/03WESTFIELD HS, MA (5-10)MA West D160.7W17- 2 0.025  
4/09at West Springfield, MA (3-11)MA West D155.1W14- 0 0.025  
4/10at South Hadley (9-8)MA West D169.6W16-10 0.200  
4/14SOUTH HADLEY (9-8)MA West D169.6W11- 4 0.150  
4/15CATHEDRAL, MA (0-15)MA West D149.0W14- 0 0.000  
4/18WESTFIELD HS, MA (5-10)MA West D160.7W16- 2 0.025  
4/21at Longmeadow (20-3)MA West D185.73L1-11 0.000  
4/28NORTHAMPTON (7-9)MA West D166.9W17-13 0.150  
5/01MINNECHAUG (15-3)MA West D179.3L10-14 -0.200  
5/05at Suffield Academy (12-4)NE78.3L9-11 -0.125  
5/07AMHERST-PELHAM (9-7)MA West D165.8W13- 5 0.075  
5/08EAST LONGMEADOW (3-12)MA West D154.9W15- 4 0.000  
5/12at Cathedral, MA (0-15)MA West D149.0W17- 9 0.000  
5/13LONGMEADOW (20-3)MA West D185.73L1-16 -0.025  
5/16at Minnechaug (15-3)MA West D179.3L12-19 -0.150  
5/20at Amherst-Pelham (9-7)MA West D165.8W12-10 0.125  
5/21at Minnechaug (15-3)MA West D179.3L12-19 -0.150  
5/22at East Longmeadow (3-12)MA West D154.9W16- 7 0.050  
5/28at Northampton (7-9)MA West D166.9W12-11 0.200  
6/02NORTHAMPTON (7-9)MA West D166.9W16-11 0.150  
6/03at Minnechaug (15-3)MA West D179.3L7-16 -0.150  
 74.5     0.38  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01HWest Springfield, MA15-411   11       -0.92       0.43
4/03HWestfield HS, MA17-215   9       ++-0.92       5.77
4/09AWest Springfield, MA14-014   9       ++0.92       5.26
4/10ASouth Hadley16-106   2       ++0.92       4.06
4/14HSouth Hadley11-47   4       +-0.92       3.23
4/15HCathedral, MA14-014   14       -0.92       -0.16
4/18HWestfield HS, MA16-214   9       ++-0.92       4.77
4/21ALongmeadow1-11-10   -11       0.92       0.79
4/28HNorthampton17-134   4       -0.92       -0.04
5/01HMinnechaug10-14-4   -2       –-0.92       -2.05
5/05ASuffield Academy9-11-2   -5       +0.98       2.69
5/07HAmherst-Pelham13-58   7       -0.92       1.21
5/08HEast Longmeadow15-411   10       -0.92       1.07
5/12ACathedral, MA17-98   12       ––0.92       -4.33
5/13HLongmeadow1-16-15   -9       –––-0.92       -6.04
5/16AMinnechaug12-19-7   -4       –0.92       -3.22
5/20AAmherst-Pelham12-102   5       –0.92       -2.96
5/21AMinnechaug12-19-7   -4       –0.92       -3.22
5/22AEast Longmeadow16-79   8       0.92       0.90
5/28ANorthampton12-111   2       0.92       -1.21
6/02HNorthampton16-115   4       -0.92       0.96
6/03AMinnechaug7-16-9   -4       ––0.92       -5.22
         0.002.69

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/01HWest Springfield, MA15-4-0.43
4/03HWestfield HS, MA17-2-5.00
4/09AWest Springfield, MA14-0-4.00
4/15HCathedral, MA14-00.16
4/18HWestfield HS, MA16-2-4.00
4/21ALongmeadow1-11-0.79
5/08HEast Longmeadow15-4-1.07
5/13HLongmeadow1-165.00
10-goal correction: -0.46

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 74.   Natl CCR Rank 663
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 74.54   Natl Power Rank 663
Natl SOS Rating 67.00   Natl SOS Rank 602
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.38   Natl Quality Win Rank 554
W-L Pct Rating 0.68   W-L Pct Rank 521
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -12.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -12.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -8.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.0

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