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Albemarle Patriots (16-3)

Region: VA NW AAAState: VACoach: Dave Sloan

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/13CHARLOTTESVILLE (2-7)VA NW AA70.0W13- 6 0.000  
3/15ST. TIMOTHY'S (7-9)MD IAAM B71.9W14- 7 0.000  
3/18WESTERN ALBEMARLE (15-3)VA NW AA83.05W13- 6 0.225  
3/20at St. Catherine's School (6-12)VA LIS71.2W16- 6 0.075  
3/25at Charlottesville (2-7)VA NW AA70.0W13- 5 0.025  
4/01at St. Anne's-Belfield (14-7)VA LIS78.0W11- 5 0.175  
4/14at Rockbridge County (10-6)VA NW AA75.2W11- 4 0.125  
4/17ST. CATHERINE'S SCHOOL (6-12)VA LIS71.2W16- 6 0.000  
4/22at Collegiate School (19-2)VA LIS88.31L5-15 -0.125  
4/24ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY (10-6)VA NW AA75.2W12- 4 0.000  
4/29at Monticello, VA (2-8)VA NW AA68.5W18- 1 0.000  
5/02COLLEGIATE SCHOOL (19-2)VA LIS88.31L11-19 -0.225  
5/06at Western Albemarle (15-3)VA NW AA83.05W14-12 0.325  
5/07MONTICELLO, VA (2-8)VA NW AA68.5W14- 3 0.000  
5/21BATTLEFIELD (14-4)VA NW AAA73.9W19- 4 0.000  
5/22at Forest Park (8-8)VA NW AAA68.7W18- 6 0.000  
5/28at Loudoun Valley (16-5)VA NW AAA80.88W11- 8 0.250  
5/30WESTFIELD, VA (12-6)VA Cncrd79.3W12- 9 0.125  
6/05vs. Chantilly # (17-3)VA Cncrd85.92L9-11 -0.225  
# Neutral site 78.8     0.75  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/13HCharlottesville13-67   13       –––-2.28       -6.21
3/15HSt. Timothy's14-77   13       –––-1.50       -6.16
3/18HWestern Albemarle13-67   1       ++-2.28       5.51
3/20ASt. Catherine's School16-610   7       +2.28       3.44
3/25ACharlottesville13-58   9       2.28       -0.65
4/01ASt. Anne's-Belfield11-56   3       +2.28       3.11
4/14ARockbridge County11-47   5       2.28       1.82
4/17HSt. Catherine's School16-610   11       -2.28       -1.12
4/22ACollegiate School5-15-10   -5       ––2.28       -4.72
4/24HRockbridge County12-48   10       -2.28       -1.74
4/29AMonticello, VA18-117   11       ++2.28       5.99
5/02HCollegiate School11-19-8   -1       –––-2.28       -7.29
5/06AWestern Albemarle14-122   -3       ++2.28       5.07
5/07HMonticello, VA14-311   16       ––-2.28       -4.57
5/21HBattlefield19-415   13       -2.28       1.95
5/22AForest Park18-612   13       2.28       -0.95
5/28ALoudoun Valley11-83   0       +2.28       3.23
5/30HWestfield, VA12-93   5       –-2.28       -2.26
6/05NChantilly9-11-2   -1       0.00       -0.63
         0.00-6.16

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/20ASt. Catherine's School16-60.00
4/17HSt. Catherine's School16-61.12
4/22ACollegiate School5-150.00
4/29AMonticello, VA18-1-5.99
5/07HMonticello, VA14-34.57
5/21HBattlefield19-4-1.95
5/22AForest Park18-60.95
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 83.   Natl CCR Rank 153
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 83.53   Natl Power Rank 153
Natl SOS Rating 74.18   Natl SOS Rank 249
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.75   Natl Quality Win Rank 286
W-L Pct Rating 0.84   W-L Pct Rank 161
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.3



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