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Aliso Niguel Wolverines (8-5 - 1)

Region: CA CIF S

State: CA

Coach: Dave Elkins

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/28	at Dana Hills (2-10)	CA CIF S	62.5		W	6-	3		0.100
3/03	LAGUNA HILLS (7-11)	CA CIF S	65.1		L	3-	4		-0.250
3/06	SANTA MARGARITA (2-3)	CA CIF S	65.0		W	8-	4		0.200
3/14	at Laguna Hills (7-11)	CA CIF S	65.1		T	5-	5		0.000
3/17	DANA HILLS (2-10)	CA CIF S	62.5		W	10-	2		0.050
3/26	at Capistrano Valley (2-6)	CA CIF S	63.5		W	8-	2		0.175
3/28	at Irvine (0-11)	CA CIF S	60.2		W	10-	6		0.075
4/01	TRABUCO HILLS (13-6)	CA CIF S	69.2		L	3-	6		-0.150
4/03	SANTA MARGARITA (2-3)	CA CIF S	65.0		W	9-	8		0.200
4/18	at Mission Viejo (5-13)	CA CIF S	66.6		L	4-	10		-0.100
4/24	CAPISTRANO VALLEY (2-6)	CA CIF S	63.5		W	14-	9		0.125
5/01	IRVINE (0-11)	CA CIF S	60.2			-
5/02	ALISO NIGUEL (8-5)	CA CIF S	65.9		W	13-	0		0.225
5/02	at Aliso Niguel (8-5)	CA CIF S	65.9		L	0-	13		-0.225
5/02	at Beckman (16-1)	CA CIF S	76.6	6	L	0-	13		0.000
			67.0						0.42

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/28	A	Dana Hills	6-	3	3	6	–	0.93	-2.87
3/03	H	Laguna Hills	3-	4	-1	0		-0.93	-1.22
3/06	H	Santa Margarita	8-	4	4	2	+	-0.93	2.33
3/14	A	Laguna Hills	5-	5	0	-2		0.93	1.63
3/17	H	Dana Hills	10-	2	8	8		-0.93	0.28
3/26	A	Capistrano Valley	8-	2	6	3	+	0.93	3.26
3/28	A	Irvine	10-	6	4	7	–	0.93	-3.44
4/01	H	Trabuco Hills	3-	6	-3	-4		-0.93	1.09
4/03	H	Santa Margarita	9-	8	1	2		-0.93	-0.67
4/18	A	Mission Viejo	4-	10	-6	-6		0.93	-0.48
4/24	H	Capistrano Valley	14-	9	5	5		-0.93	0.40
5/02	H	Aliso Niguel	13-	0	13	1	+++	-0.93	12.07
5/02	A	Aliso Niguel	0-	13	-13	-1	–––	0.93	12.07
5/02	A	Beckman	0-	13	-13	-13		0.93	-0.31
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/02	H	Aliso Niguel	13-	0	-3.00
5/02	A	Aliso Niguel	0-	13	3.00
5/02	A	Beckman	0-	13	0.31
10-goal correction: 0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	66.		Natl CCR Rank	1354
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	65.88		Natl Power Rank	1354
Natl SOS Rating	55.37		Natl SOS Rank	1490
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.42		Natl Quality Win Rank	510
W-L Pct Rating	0.61		W-L Pct Rank	727
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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