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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Aloha Warriors (3-13)

Region: OR Metro

State: OR

Coach: Jennifer Kelsey

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/10	at Oregon City (15-3)	OR TRL	76.6	2	L	1-	17		0.000
3/13	CLEVELAND (1-15)	OR PIL	55.1		W	9-	4		0.225
3/17	at Hillsboro, OR (0-16)	OR NW	48.5		W	14-	5		0.075
3/20	HOOD RIVER VALLEY (6-10)	OR TRL	61.4		L	6-	10		-0.175
4/01	at Wilson, OR (9-7)	OR PIL	68.6	10	L	3-	13		0.000
4/02	at St. Mary's Acad, OR (19-0)	OR PIL	78.4	1	L	0-	18		0.000
4/08	at Southridge (6-10)	OR Metro	62.3		L	2-	4		-0.150
4/14	at Beaverton (2-14)	OR Metro	55.5		L	5-	10		-0.275
4/15	TIGARD (11-6)	OR Metro	65.5		L	8-	17		-0.100
4/17	BEAVERTON (2-14)	OR Metro	55.5		W	6-	5		0.200
4/21	at Westview, OR (14-4)	OR Metro	69.3	9	L	7-	17		-0.025
4/24	SOUTHRIDGE (6-10)	OR Metro	62.3		L	9-	10		-0.175
4/28	at Tigard (11-6)	OR Metro	65.5		L	7-	15		-0.075
5/01	SUNSET (16-2)	OR Metro	72.7	4	L	1-	10		0.000
5/07	at Sunset (16-2)	OR Metro	72.7	4	L	4-	16		0.000
5/08	WESTVIEW, OR (14-4)	OR Metro	69.3	9	L	2-	14		-0.050
			66.4						-0.53

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	A	Oregon City	1-	17	-16	-19	+	0.42	2.62
3/13	H	Cleveland	9-	4	5	1	+	-0.42	3.59
3/17	A	Hillsboro, OR	14-	5	9	7	+	0.42	2.18
3/20	H	Hood River Valley	6-	10	-4	-3		-0.42	-1.35
4/01	A	Wilson, OR	3-	13	-10	-11		0.42	1.34
4/02	A	St. Mary's Acad, OR	0-	18	-18	-17		0.42	-0.91
4/08	A	Southridge	2-	4	-2	-4		0.42	2.00
4/14	A	Beaverton	5-	10	-5	1	–––	0.42	-6.45
4/15	H	Tigard	8-	17	-9	-6	–	-0.42	-2.94
4/17	H	Beaverton	6-	5	1	2		-0.42	-1.29
4/21	A	Westview, OR	7-	17	-10	-9		0.42	-0.82
4/24	H	Southridge	9-	10	-1	-3	+	-0.42	2.16
4/28	A	Tigard	7-	15	-8	-7		0.42	-1.10
5/01	H	Sunset	1-	10	-9	-12	+	-0.42	3.40
5/07	A	Sunset	4-	16	-12	-13		0.42	1.24
5/08	H	Westview, OR	2-	14	-12	-8	–	-0.42	-3.66
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/10	A	Oregon City	1-	17	-2.62
4/01	A	Wilson, OR	3-	13	-1.34
4/02	A	St. Mary's Acad, OR	0-	18	0.91
4/21	A	Westview, OR	7-	17	0.00
5/07	A	Sunset	4-	16	-1.24
5/08	H	Westview, OR	2-	14	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	56.		Natl CCR Rank	1951
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	56.27		Natl Power Rank	1951
Natl SOS Rating	54.99		Natl SOS Rank	1522
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.53		Natl Quality Win Rank	1915
W-L Pct Rating	0.19		W-L Pct Rank	1747
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-12		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-11.0

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