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Alpharetta Raiders (10-6)

Region: GA A4

State: GA

Coach: Sara Cantrell

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/25	at West Forsyth (8-7)	GA A6	63.5		W	18-	11		0.125
3/05	at Riverwood (6-10)	GA A3	64.3		W	15-	10		0.175
3/10	at South Forsyth (13-5)	GA A6	74.9	8	L	8-	11		-0.125
3/13	MARIST, GA (16-3)	GA A2	76.1	5	L	8-	15		-0.225
3/17	CHATTAHOOCHEE (14-5)	GA A4	77.7	4	L	2-	21		-0.075
3/18	POPE (9-5)	GA A8	67.4		W	16-	13		0.175
3/21	at Centennial, GA (10-8)	GA A4	71.8		L	11-	13		-0.175
3/24	GAINESVILLE (0-13)	GA A6	47.1		W	17-	0		0.000
3/28	ST. PIUS X (7-9)	GA A2	65.9		W	13-	5		0.150
3/29	ETOWAH (7-6)	GA A7	63.1		W	14-	9		0.000
3/31	at Wesleyan School (5-11)	GA A4	61.5		W	19-	6		0.075
4/02	at Northview, GA (15-4)	GA A4	78.1	2	L	9-	22		0.000
4/17	BLESSED TRINITY (11-6)	GA A3	69.3		W	13-	8		0.225
4/19	at Greater Atlanta Christ (4-12)	GA A4	55.0		W	21-	3		0.000
4/22	at Roswell (10-5)	GA A6	71.7		L	14-	17		-0.200
4/25	KELL (4-11)	GA A7	59.6		W	21-	6		0.000
			64.1						0.13

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/25	A	West Forsyth	18-	11	7	5		1.70	1.87
3/05	A	Riverwood	15-	10	5	3		1.70	1.80
3/10	A	South Forsyth	8-	11	-3	-5		1.70	1.54
3/13	H	Marist, GA	8-	15	-7	-1	––	-1.70	-5.56
3/17	H	Chattahoochee	2-	21	-19	-7	–––	-1.70	-11.81
3/18	H	Pope	16-	13	3	3		-1.70	0.48
3/21	A	Centennial, GA	11-	13	-2	-3		1.70	1.49
3/24	H	Gainesville	17-	0	17	21	––	-1.70	-4.19
3/28	H	St. Pius X	13-	5	8	4	+	-1.70	3.81
3/29	H	Etowah	14-	9	5	10	––	-1.70	-4.91
3/31	A	Wesleyan School	19-	6	13	7	+++	1.70	6.44
4/02	A	Northview, GA	9-	22	-13	-10	–	1.70	-2.81
4/17	H	Blessed Trinity	13-	8	5	1	++	-1.70	4.05
4/19	A	Greater Atlanta Christ	21-	3	18	13	++	1.70	5.21
4/22	A	Roswell	14-	17	-3	-2		1.70	-0.61
4/25	H	Kell	21-	6	15	12	+	-1.70	3.20
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/17	H	Chattahoochee	2-	21	9.00
3/24	H	Gainesville	17-	0	4.19
3/31	A	Wesleyan School	19-	6	-3.00
4/02	A	Northview, GA	9-	22	3.00
4/19	A	Greater Atlanta Christ	21-	3	-5.21
4/25	H	Kell	21-	6	-3.20
10-goal correction: 0.30

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	71.		Natl CCR Rank	882
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	71.69		Natl Power Rank	882
Natl SOS Rating	51.88		Natl SOS Rank	1810
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.13		Natl Quality Win Rank	838
W-L Pct Rating	0.62		W-L Pct Rank	668
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	10.0

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