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Amador Valley Lady Dons (21-2)

Region: CA EBALState: CACoach: Karen Church

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/04ST. IGNATIUS PREP, CA (15-3)CA CCS82.72L9-12 -0.375  
3/07MIRAMONTE (17-5)CA DFAL77.46W12- 2 0.000  
3/11at Carondelet (18-5)CA BSAL80.13W15- 8 0.125  
3/14at Berkeley (17-7)CA BSAL75.6W17- 4 0.000  
3/18SAN RAMON VALLEY (6-9)CA EBAL74.2W20- 1 0.000  
3/19ACALANES (10-11)CA DFAL74.1W16- 4 0.000  
3/21at Livermore (2-14)CA EBAL64.8W21- 2 0.000  
3/24at La Costa Canyon (23-0)CA CIF S88.0L9-12ot-0.200  
3/26at Poway (11-11)CA CIF S78.6W11- 7 0.050  
4/01REDWOOD (12-7)CA MCAL75.810W19- 6 0.000  
4/04GRANADA (15-7)CA EBAL76.59W13- 2 0.000  
4/08at Monte Vista, Danville (16-7)CA EBAL79.25W20- 8 0.075  
4/11at California HS (15-7)CA EBAL79.74W18- 7 0.100  
4/15FOOTHILL, PLEASANTON (8-13)CA EBAL73.8W15- 5 0.000  
4/18at San Ramon Valley (6-9)CA EBAL74.2W14- 8 0.000  
4/22LIVERMORE (2-14)CA EBAL64.8W22- 1 0.000  
4/29at Granada (15-7)CA EBAL76.59W16- 3 0.050  
5/02MONTE VISTA, DANVILLE (16-7)CA EBAL79.25W10- 7 0.025  
5/06CALIFORNIA HS (15-7)CA EBAL79.74W15- 6 0.050  
5/07at Foothill, Pleasanton (8-13)CA EBAL73.8W16- 5 0.000  
5/14BERKELEY (17-7)CA BSAL75.6W19- 9 0.000  
5/15CALIFORNIA HS (15-7)CA EBAL79.74W14-13 0.050  
5/17vs. Monte Vista, Danville # (16-7)CA EBAL79.25W19- 7 1.050  
# Neutral site 77.8     1.00  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/04HSt. Ignatius Prep, CA9-12-3   5       –––-1.04       -7.92
3/07HMiramonte12-210   11       -1.04       -0.79
3/11ACarondelet15-87   5       +1.04       2.19
3/14ABerkeley17-413   11       +1.04       2.38
3/18HSan Ramon Valley20-119   13       +++-1.04       6.26
3/19HAcalanes16-412   13       -1.04       -0.90
3/21ALivermore21-219   20       1.04       -1.03
3/24ALa Costa Canyon9-12-3   -2       0.98       -1.42
3/26APoway11-74   8       0.98       -3.79
4/01HRedwood19-613   11       -1.04       1.81
4/04HGranada13-211   10       -1.04       0.58
4/08AMonte Vista, Danville20-812   7       ++1.04       5.12
4/11ACalifornia HS18-711   6       ++1.04       5.16
4/15HFoothill, Pleasanton15-510   12       -1.04       -2.20
4/18ASan Ramon Valley14-86   11       ––1.04       -4.66
4/22HLivermore22-121   22       -1.04       -1.11
4/29AGranada16-313   8       ++1.04       4.66
5/02HMonte Vista, Danville10-73   9       ––-1.04       -5.96
5/06HCalifornia HS15-69   8       -1.04       1.08
5/07AFoothill, Pleasanton16-511   10       1.04       0.88
5/14HBerkeley19-910   13       -1.04       -2.70
5/15HCalifornia HS14-131   8       –––-1.04       -6.92
5/17NMonte Vista, Danville19-712   8       ++0.00       4.08
         0.00-5.21

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/07HMiramonte12-20.79
3/14ABerkeley17-4-2.38
3/18HSan Ramon Valley20-1-6.26
3/19HAcalanes16-40.90
3/21ALivermore21-21.03
4/01HRedwood19-6-1.81
4/04HGranada13-2-0.58
4/08AMonte Vista, Danville20-8-2.00
4/11ACalifornia HS18-7-1.00
4/15HFoothill, Pleasanton15-52.20
4/22HLivermore22-11.11
4/29AGranada16-3-3.00
5/07AFoothill, Pleasanton16-5-0.88
5/14HBerkeley19-92.70
5/17NMonte Vista, Danville19-7-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.49

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 87.   Natl CCR Rank 65
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 87.40   Natl Power Rank 62
Natl SOS Rating 71.93   Natl SOS Rank 336
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.00   Natl Quality Win Rank 163
W-L Pct Rating 0.91   W-L Pct Rank 66
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 21-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 9.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 7-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 6.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 11-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 8.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 18-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 9.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 7.7



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