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Phillips Andover Acad Big Blue (9-6)

Region: NE

State: MA

Coach: Kate Dolan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	NOBLE & GREENOUGH (16-0)	NE	88.4	1	L	7-	20		-0.125
4/09	at Deerfield Academy, MA (11-3)	NE	83.1	8	L	7-	13		-0.150
4/11	PINGREE SCHOOL (14-5)	NE	79.4		W	10-	6		0.225
4/16	at St. Paul's School, NH (4-10)	NE	74.0		W	11-	7		0.200
4/19	at Groton School (7-9)	NE	75.0		W	12-	7		0.200
4/23	NORTHFIELD-MT. HERMON (1-12)	NE	66.6		W	17-	4		0.000
4/26	at Taft School (6-8)	NE	74.7		W	13-	9		0.225
4/30	GOVERNOR'S ACADEMY (11-4)	NE	83.3	7	L	7-	12		-0.175
5/03	TABOR ACADEMY (1-13)	NE	67.9		W	21-	9		0.000
5/07	MILTON ACADEMY (4-13)	NE	72.1		W	16-	8		0.125
5/10	at Loomis Chaffee School (13-1)	NE	88.3	2	L	3-	11		-0.075
5/14	THAYER ACADEMY (15-3)	NE	85.9	5	L	9-	19		-0.125
5/16	at Lawrence Academy (2-13)	NE	69.1		W	17-	7		0.075
5/21	BROOKS SCHOOL (15-1)	NE	87.3	3	L	8-	13		-0.125
5/23	at Phillips Exeter Acad (9-6)	NE	77.1		W	10-	9		0.250
			81.2						0.52

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	H	Noble & Greenough	7-	20	-13	-5	–––	-1.05	-7.83
4/09	A	Deerfield Academy, MA	7-	13	-6	-4	–	1.05	-2.22
4/11	H	Pingree School	10-	6	4	1	+	-1.05	2.55
4/16	A	St. Paul's School, NH	11-	7	4	2	+	1.05	2.31
4/19	A	Groton School	12-	7	5	2	+	1.05	2.82
4/23	H	Northfield-Mt. Hermon	17-	4	13	13		-1.05	-0.30
4/26	A	Taft School	13-	9	4	1	+	1.05	2.62
4/30	H	Governor's Academy	7-	12	-5	-3		-1.05	-1.56
5/03	H	Tabor Academy	21-	9	12	11		-1.05	0.85
5/07	H	Milton Academy	16-	8	8	5	+	-1.05	2.60
5/10	A	Loomis Chaffee School	3-	11	-8	-7		1.05	-0.76
5/14	H	Thayer Academy	9-	19	-10	-5	––	-1.05	-5.26
5/16	A	Lawrence Academy	17-	7	10	7	+	1.05	2.94
5/21	H	Brooks School	8-	13	-5	-5		-1.05	0.00
5/23	A	Phillips Exeter Acad	10-	9	1	0		1.05	1.23
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	H	Noble & Greenough	7-	20	3.00
4/23	H	Northfield-Mt. Hermon	17-	4	0.30
5/03	H	Tabor Academy	21-	9	-0.85
5/14	H	Thayer Academy	9-	19	0.00
5/16	A	Lawrence Academy	17-	7	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	302
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.36		Natl Power Rank	302
Natl SOS Rating	78.27		Natl SOS Rank	120
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.52		Natl Quality Win Rank	434
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	748
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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