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Ann Arbor-Huron River Rats (5-7)

Region: MI DI

State: MI

Coach: Erin Maturo

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	EAST LANSING (6-7)	MI DII	59.9			-
3/29	ANN ARBOR-PIONEER (12-6)	MI DI	67.0		L	8-	9		-0.200
4/03	at South Lyon United (22-1)	MI DI	71.7	5	L	4-	16		-0.050
4/16	WAVERLY-LC-GL UNITED (12-6)	MI DI	64.3		W	11-	8		0.225
4/18	at Holt (2-11)	MI DI	54.0		W	14-	3		0.075
4/21	GROSSE POINTE NORTH (6-7)	MI DI	62.6		W	17-	9		0.200
4/23	at Swartz Creek (6-9)	MI DII	57.3		W	16-	5		0.125
4/25	at Okemos (15-2)	MI DII	72.4	4	L	7-	15		-0.025
5/02	TECUMSEH (4-6)	MI DII	55.8			-
5/03	at Waverly-LC-GL United (12-6)	MI DI	64.3		L	3-	11		-0.225
5/08	at Detroit Country Day (9-9)	MI DII	67.4		L	17-	22		-0.100
5/16	at Ann Arbor-Pioneer (12-6)	MI DI	67.0		L	9-	14		-0.150
5/22	PCS UNITED (11-5)	MI DI	62.5		W	17-	12		0.125
5/27	vs. Ann Arbor-Pioneer # (12-6)	MI DI	67.0		L	8-	20		-0.175
# Neutral site			65.5						-0.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	Ann Arbor-Pioneer	8-	9	-1	-2		-1.10	0.99
4/03	A	South Lyon United	4-	16	-12	-8	––	1.10	-4.35
4/16	H	Waverly-LC-GL United	11-	8	3	1	+	-1.10	2.10
4/18	A	Holt	14-	3	11	7	+	1.10	3.56
4/21	H	Grosse Pointe North	17-	9	8	2	++	-1.10	5.94
4/23	A	Swartz Creek	16-	5	11	5	+++	1.10	6.42
4/25	A	Okemos	7-	15	-8	-9		1.10	0.87
5/03	A	Waverly-LC-GL United	3-	11	-8	-1	–––	1.10	-6.70
5/08	A	Detroit Country Day	17-	22	-5	-6		1.10	0.70
5/16	A	Ann Arbor-Pioneer	9-	14	-5	-4		1.10	-0.81
5/22	H	PCS United	17-	12	5	5		-1.10	0.18
5/27	N	Ann Arbor-Pioneer	8-	20	-12	-3	–––	0.00	-8.91
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	A	South Lyon United	4-	16	2.00
4/18	A	Holt	14-	3	-1.00
4/23	A	Swartz Creek	16-	5	-1.00
5/27	N	Ann Arbor-Pioneer	8-	20	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	63.		Natl CCR Rank	1562
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	63.17		Natl Power Rank	1562
Natl SOS Rating	53.50		Natl SOS Rank	1686
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.17		Natl Quality Win Rank	1423
W-L Pct Rating	0.42		W-L Pct Rank	1232
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.0


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