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Apopka Blue Darters (2-13)

Region: FL Dist 4

State: FL

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/04	at Ocoee (9-4)	FL Dist 5	67.8		L	6-	9		-0.100
2/06	CYPRESS CREEK (9-8)	FL Dist 7	66.6		L	14-	15		-0.175
2/11	at Dr. Phillips (6-9)	FL Dist 7	63.4		L	13-	16		-0.200
2/14	at Lake Brantley (18-4)	FL Dist 4	80.7	3	L	2-	17		0.000
2/20	LAKE MARY (8-8)	FL Dist 4	71.6		L	1-	19		0.000
2/22	EDGEWATER (1-13)	FL Dist 5	55.9		W	11-	10		0.125
2/25	at West Orange (13-6)	FL Dist 5	71.7		L	9-	25		0.000
2/27	LYMAN (5-10)	FL Dist 4	65.5		L	5-	12		-0.200
3/03	OLYMPIA (15-3)	FL Dist 5	77.4	6	L	4-	21		0.000
3/14	at Boone (7-7)	FL Dist 6	65.3		L	13-	14		-0.150
3/17	EAST RIDGE (2-11)	FL Dist 5	57.0		W	17-	5		0.100
3/19	TIMBER CREEK (17-2)	FL Dist 6	77.8	5	L	4-	17		0.000
3/20	UNIVERSITY HS, ORLANDO (11-6)	FL Dist 6	69.8		L	7-	17		-0.075
3/24	FREEDOM, FL (7-8)	FL Dist 7	63.6		L	8-	11		-0.275
4/01	at Lake Brantley (18-4)	FL Dist 4	80.7	3	L	3-	19		0.000
			69.1						-0.95

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/04	A	Ocoee	6-	9	-3	-6	+	1.78	2.87
2/06	H	Cypress Creek	14-	15	-1	-3	+	-1.78	2.13
2/11	A	Dr. Phillips	13-	16	-3	-2		1.78	-1.00
2/14	A	Lake Brantley	2-	17	-15	-21	+++	1.78	6.16
2/20	H	Lake Mary	1-	19	-18	-12	––	-1.78	-5.64
2/22	H	Edgewater	11-	10	1	5	––	-1.78	-4.24
2/25	A	West Orange	9-	25	-16	-15		1.78	-1.25
2/27	H	Lyman	5-	12	-7	-2	––	-1.78	-5.45
3/03	H	Olympia	4-	21	-17	-16		-1.78	-1.47
3/14	A	Boone	13-	14	-1	-4	+	1.78	2.69
3/17	H	East Ridge	17-	5	12	6	+++	-1.78	6.05
3/19	H	Timber Creek	4-	17	-13	-14		-1.78	0.56
3/20	H	University HS, Orlando	7-	17	-10	-7	–	-1.78	-2.83
3/24	H	Freedom, FL	8-	11	-3	1	–	-1.78	-3.73
4/01	A	Lake Brantley	3-	19	-16	-21	++	1.78	5.16
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/14	A	Lake Brantley	2-	17	-6.16
2/20	H	Lake Mary	1-	19	5.64
2/25	A	West Orange	9-	25	1.25
3/03	H	Olympia	4-	21	1.47
3/17	H	East Ridge	17-	5	-2.00
3/19	H	Timber Creek	4-	17	-0.56
3/20	H	University HS, Orlando	7-	17	0.00
4/01	A	Lake Brantley	3-	19	-5.16
10-goal correction: -0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	60.		Natl CCR Rank	1793
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	59.89		Natl Power Rank	1793
Natl SOS Rating	58.88		Natl SOS Rank	1220
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.95		Natl Quality Win Rank	2221
W-L Pct Rating	0.13		W-L Pct Rank	1849
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-15.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.7


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