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Arlington Catholic, MA Cougars (15-2 - 1)

Region: MA No D2

State: MA

Coach: Jessica Nassar

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/10	SHAWSHEEN VALLEY TECH (6-5)	MA No D2	62.5		T	12-	12		0.000
4/14	at Marian, MA (3-9)	MA No D2	48.1		W	19-	9		0.000
4/17	at Danvers (3-12)	MA No D2	52.7		W	12-	11		0.150
4/19	ARCHBISHOP WILLIAMS (7-8)	MA So D2	53.2		W	13-	7		0.075
4/21	at St. Mary's, MA (11-8)	MA No D2	62.7		W	10-	9		0.225
4/26	AUSTIN PREP (7-9)	MA No D2	54.1		W	17-	4		0.050
4/29	at Bishop Fenwick, MA (12-3)	MA No D2	65.9		L	11-	12		-0.275
5/05	SHAWSHEEN VALLEY TECH (6-5)	MA No D2	62.5		W	11-	6		0.175
5/06	MARIAN, MA (3-9)	MA No D2	48.1		W	19-	6		0.000
5/07	at Archbishop Williams (7-8)	MA So D2	53.2		W	16-	8		0.125
5/12	at Matignon (2-14)	MA No D2	47.0		W	17-	5		0.000
5/13	at St. Bernard's, MA (5-9)	MA Cen D1	50.0		W	11-	6		0.100
5/14	BISHOP FENWICK, MA (12-3)	MA No D2	65.9		W	11-	9		0.175
5/15	at Austin Prep (7-9)	MA No D2	54.1		W	12-	7		0.100
5/17	ST. MARY'S, MA (11-8)	MA No D2	62.7		W	10-	4		0.175
5/20	MATIGNON (2-14)	MA No D2	47.0		W	13-	3		0.000
5/22	ST. BERNARD'S, MA (5-9)	MA Cen D1	50.0		W	12-	4		0.050
5/27	HAMILTON-WENHAM (6-8)	MA No D2	67.9		L	9-	11		-0.200
			66.7						0.93

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/10	H	Shawsheen Valley Tech	12-	12	0	3	–	-0.92	-2.67
4/14	A	Marian, MA	19-	9	10	12		0.92	-1.55
4/17	A	Danvers	12-	11	1	4	–	0.92	-3.08
4/19	H	Archbishop Williams	13-	7	6	7		-0.92	-0.51
4/21	A	St. Mary's, MA	10-	9	1	1		0.92	0.25
4/26	H	Austin Prep	17-	4	13	8	++	-0.92	5.30
4/29	A	Bishop Fenwick, MA	11-	12	-1	1		0.92	-1.95
5/05	H	Shawsheen Valley Tech	11-	6	5	3	+	-0.92	2.33
5/06	H	Marian, MA	19-	6	13	13		-0.92	-0.38
5/07	A	Archbishop Williams	16-	8	8	5	+	0.92	3.32
5/12	A	Matignon	17-	5	12	11		0.92	1.29
5/13	A	St. Bernard's, MA	11-	6	5	6		0.92	-1.26
5/14	H	Bishop Fenwick, MA	11-	9	2	3		-0.92	-0.79
5/15	A	Austin Prep	12-	7	5	6		0.92	-0.87
5/17	H	St. Mary's, MA	10-	4	6	3	+	-0.92	3.41
5/20	H	Matignon	13-	3	10	13	–	-0.92	-2.54
5/22	H	St. Bernard's, MA	12-	4	8	8		-0.92	-0.09
5/27	H	Hamilton-Wenham	9-	11	-2	-2		-0.92	-0.20
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/14	A	Marian, MA	19-	9	1.55
4/26	H	Austin Prep	17-	4	-3.00
5/06	H	Marian, MA	19-	6	0.38
5/12	A	Matignon	17-	5	-1.29
5/20	H	Matignon	13-	3	2.54
10-goal correction: 0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	68.		Natl CCR Rank	1173
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.62		Natl Power Rank	1173
Natl SOS Rating	54.72		Natl SOS Rank	1547
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.93		Natl Quality Win Rank	184
W-L Pct Rating	0.86		W-L Pct Rank	125
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.3


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