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Ardrey Kell Knights (6-10)

Region: NC SW

State: NC

Coach: Tina Murphy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/29	at South Mecklenburg (3-14)	NC SW	60.7		W	9-	8	2ot	0.175
3/03	PROVIDENCE HS, NC (14-6)	NC SW	68.0		L	9-	10		-0.100
3/07	at Myers Park (13-4)	NC West	71.0	5		-
3/11	WEDDINGTON (8-7)	NC SW	65.7		L	9-	14		-0.125
3/14	at Butler (3-16)	NC SW	59.0		W	16-	6		0.125
3/18	HOPEWELL (14-6)	NC West	66.9		W	12-	7		0.325
3/20	MARVIN RIDGE (10-4)	NC SW	69.2	10	L	2-	13		-0.075
3/27	CHARLOTTE LATIN SCHOOL (5-8)	NC SW	61.8		L	5-	9		-0.250
4/02	CHARLOTTE CATHOLIC (19-2)	NC SW	76.5	2	L	0-	10		0.000
4/03	CHARLOTTE CDS (12-5)	NC West	67.7		L	1-	11		-0.125
4/15	at Hopewell (14-6)	NC West	66.9		L	5-	11		-0.150
4/17	at Providence HS, NC (14-6)	NC SW	68.0		L	5-	13		-0.100
4/19	vs. Weddington # (8-7)	NC SW	65.7		L	4-	18		-0.125
4/19	at Charlotte CDS (12-5)	NC West	67.7		L	2-	11		-0.100
4/21	at Providence CDS, NC (1-16)	NC West	58.2		W	15-	5		0.100
4/22	BUTLER (3-16)	NC SW	59.0		W	15-	7		0.100
4/25	SOUTH MECKLENBURG (3-14)	NC SW	60.7		W	9-	5		0.150
# Neutral site			64.8						-0.18

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	A	South Mecklenburg	9-	8	1	3		0.39	-1.97
3/03	H	Providence HS, NC	9-	10	-1	-6	++	-0.39	4.67
3/11	H	Weddington	9-	14	-5	-5		-0.39	-0.12
3/14	A	Butler	16-	6	10	5	++	0.39	5.15
3/18	H	Hopewell	12-	7	5	-3	+++	-0.39	8.45
3/20	H	Marvin Ridge	2-	13	-11	-7	–	-0.39	-3.80
3/27	H	Charlotte Latin School	5-	9	-4	0	–	-0.39	-3.64
4/02	H	Charlotte Catholic	0-	10	-10	-13	+	-0.39	3.46
4/03	H	Charlotte CDS	1-	11	-10	-5	––	-0.39	-4.52
4/15	A	Hopewell	5-	11	-6	-4		0.39	-1.77
4/17	A	Providence HS, NC	5-	13	-8	-6		0.39	-1.56
4/19	N	Weddington	4-	18	-14	-5	–––	0.00	-8.74
4/19	A	Charlotte CDS	2-	11	-9	-6	–	0.39	-2.74
4/21	A	Providence CDS, NC	15-	5	10	6	++	0.39	4.50
4/22	H	Butler	15-	7	8	6	+	-0.39	2.38
4/25	H	South Mecklenburg	9-	5	4	4		-0.39	0.26
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	A	Butler	16-	6	0.00
3/20	H	Marvin Ridge	2-	13	1.00
4/02	H	Charlotte Catholic	0-	10	-3.46
4/03	H	Charlotte CDS	1-	11	0.00
4/19	N	Weddington	4-	18	4.00
4/21	A	Providence CDS, NC	15-	5	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	61.		Natl CCR Rank	1681
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	61.62		Natl Power Rank	1681
Natl SOS Rating	52.42		Natl SOS Rank	1767
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.18		Natl Quality Win Rank	1451
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1341
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.3


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