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Arlington HS, MA Spy Ponders (12-6 - 1)

Region: MA No D2

State: MA

Coach: Kim Visco

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	MEDFORD (9-9)	MA No D1	63.4		W	14-	4		0.050
4/05	WESTON, MA (13-7)	MA No D2	75.9		L	9-	10		-0.250
4/07	at Concord-Carlisle (11-7)	MA No D1	74.6		T	9-	9		0.000
4/08	at Waltham (6-9)	MA No D1	68.7		W	11-	10		0.225
4/10	at Malden (2-10)	MA No D1	48.7		W	12-	2		0.000
4/15	READING MEMORIAL (14-5)	MA No D1	78.3		W	10-	9		0.325
4/16	LEXINGTON HS (18-4)	MA No D1	78.9		L	10-	11		-0.225
4/21	CAMBRIDGE R&L (0-12)	MA No D1	45.0		W	13-	1		0.000
4/23	at Wayland (5-12)	MA No D2	66.3		W	14-	9		0.200
4/24	MEDFORD (9-9)	MA No D1	63.4		W	11-	0		0.050
4/29	WALTHAM (6-9)	MA No D1	68.7		W	7-	4		0.175
5/02	at Chelmsford (14-6)	MA No D1	76.0		L	6-	11		-0.200
5/06	MALDEN (2-10)	MA No D1	48.7		W	12-	0		0.000
5/09	CHELMSFORD (14-6)	MA No D1	76.0		W	11-	7		0.275
5/15	at Lexington HS (18-4)	MA No D1	78.9		L	11-	20		-0.175
5/17	at Westborough (14-3)	MA Cen D1	78.8		L	7-	8		-0.125
5/19	WAYLAND (5-12)	MA No D2	66.3			-
5/22	CONCORD-CARLISLE (11-7)	MA No D1	74.6			-
5/27	MANCHESTER-ESSEX (6-8)	MA No D2	68.0		W	11-	6		0.150
5/29	at Hamilton-Wenham (6-8)	MA No D2	67.9		W	14-	6		0.200
6/03	vs. Georgetown, MA # (13-6)	MA No D2	74.2		L	21-	22	2ot	-0.275
# Neutral site			74.9						0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	H	Medford	14-	4	10	8		-0.92	1.76
4/05	H	Weston, MA	9-	10	-1	0		-0.92	-0.84
4/07	A	Concord-Carlisle	9-	9	0	-1		0.92	1.40
4/08	A	Waltham	11-	10	1	1		0.92	0.31
4/10	A	Malden	12-	2	10	15	––	0.92	-4.61
4/15	H	Reading Memorial	10-	9	1	-3	+	-0.92	3.96
4/16	H	Lexington HS	10-	11	-1	-1		-0.92	0.12
4/21	H	Cambridge R&L	13-	1	12	20	–––	-0.92	-8.43
4/23	A	Wayland	14-	9	5	2	+	0.92	3.36
4/24	H	Medford	11-	0	11	8	+	-0.92	2.76
4/29	H	Waltham	7-	4	3	3		-0.92	0.48
5/02	A	Chelmsford	6-	11	-5	-2	–	0.92	-2.64
5/06	H	Malden	12-	0	12	16	––	-0.92	-4.44
5/09	H	Chelmsford	11-	7	4	-1	++	-0.92	4.53
5/15	A	Lexington HS	11-	20	-9	-3	–––	0.92	-6.05
5/17	A	Westborough	7-	8	-1	-5	+	0.92	3.66
5/27	H	Manchester-Essex	11-	6	5	4		-0.92	1.08
5/29	A	Hamilton-Wenham	14-	6	8	2	++	0.92	5.97
6/03	N	Georgetown, MA	21-	22	-1	1	–	0.00	-2.37
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	Medford	14-	4	0.00
4/10	A	Malden	12-	2	4.61
4/21	H	Cambridge R&L	13-	1	8.43
4/24	H	Medford	11-	0	-1.00
5/06	H	Malden	12-	0	4.44
10-goal correction: 0.87

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	537
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.07		Natl Power Rank	537
Natl SOS Rating	67.12		Natl SOS Rank	597
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	533
W-L Pct Rating	0.66		W-L Pct Rank	584
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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