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Arundel Lady Wildcats (11-5)

Region: MD 4A

State: MD

Coach: L. Shuck-Gibbs

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	vs. Walkersville # (9-7)	MD 2A	78.8		W	14-	5		0.075
3/24	at C. Milton Wright (9-6)	MD 3A	84.3		L	8-	13		-0.200
3/25	at Southern, Anne Arundel (9-7)	MD 2A	79.5		W	17-	3		0.100
3/28	RIVER HILL (6-8)	MD 3A	78.6		W	13-	8		0.050
4/01	BROADNECK (13-4)	MD 4A	91.1	2	L	7-	17		-0.100
4/04	SEVERNA PARK (20-0)	MD 3A	98.0	1	L	5-	20		0.000
4/08	at Glen Burnie (2-10)	MD 4A	72.4		W	16-	5		0.000
4/11	at Old Mill (4-10)	MD 4A	77.7		W	16-	9		0.100
4/15	ANNAPOLIS (11-6)	MD 3A	82.9		W	15-	7		0.200
4/18	NORTH COUNTY (1-11)	MD 4A	70.9		W	18-	2		0.000
4/22	at Meade (1-12)	MD 4A	70.0		W	20-	3		0.000
4/25	at South River (14-3)	MD 4A	89.1	6	L	11-	17		-0.150
4/29	NORTHEAST (3-10)	MD 3A	74.9		W	20-	8		0.000
5/02	at Chesapeake, AA County (8-7)	MD 4A	79.5		W	19-	6		0.125
5/08	NORTH COUNTY (1-11)	MD 4A	70.9		W	21-	2		0.000
5/10	at Severna Park (20-0)	MD 3A	98.0	1	L	5-	23		0.000
# Neutral site			81.5						0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	N	Walkersville	14-	5	9	7	+	0.00	2.43
3/24	A	C. Milton Wright	8-	13	-5	-2	–	0.99	-3.20
3/25	A	Southern, Anne Arundel	17-	3	14	6	+++	0.99	7.99
3/28	H	River Hill	13-	8	5	8	–	-0.99	-2.84
4/01	H	Broadneck	7-	17	-10	-6	––	-0.99	-4.49
4/04	H	Severna Park	5-	20	-15	-11	––	-0.99	-4.44
4/08	A	Glen Burnie	16-	5	11	14	–	0.99	-3.35
4/11	A	Old Mill	16-	9	7	6		0.99	1.26
4/15	H	Annapolis	15-	7	8	2	++	-0.99	5.91
4/18	H	North County	18-	2	16	18		-0.99	-1.70
4/22	A	Meade	20-	3	17	16		0.99	0.95
4/25	A	South River	11-	17	-6	-4		0.99	-1.87
4/29	H	Northeast	20-	8	12	12		-0.99	-0.37
5/02	A	Chesapeake, AA County	19-	6	13	5	+++	0.99	7.89
5/08	H	North County	21-	2	19	18		-0.99	1.30
5/10	A	Severna Park	5-	23	-18	-13	––	0.99	-5.46
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/25	A	Southern, Anne Arundel	17-	3	-4.00
4/01	H	Broadneck	7-	17	0.00
4/04	H	Severna Park	5-	20	4.44
4/08	A	Glen Burnie	16-	5	3.35
4/18	H	North County	18-	2	1.70
4/22	A	Meade	20-	3	-0.95
4/29	H	Northeast	20-	8	0.37
5/02	A	Chesapeake, AA County	19-	6	-3.00
5/08	H	North County	21-	2	-1.30
5/10	A	Severna Park	5-	23	5.46
10-goal correction: 0.38

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	117
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.04		Natl Power Rank	117
Natl SOS Rating	79.43		Natl SOS Rank	99
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	760
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	500
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.7


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