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Atholton Raiders (4-9)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Beth Mazanec

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	SETON KEOUGH (3-13)	MD IAAM A	82.5		L	10-	12		-0.150
4/01	at Centennial, MD (14-4)	MD 3A	87.0	10	L	6-	17		-0.025
4/08	HOWARD (3-9)	MD 2A	74.3		W	14-	3		0.075
4/11	at Glenelg HS (16-4)	MD 1A	90.8	3	L	3-	19		0.000
4/15	at Reservoir (10-5)	MD 2A	80.1		L	10-	11		-0.175
4/17	WILDE LAKE (3-11)	MD 3A	73.8		W	21-	11		0.050
4/18	at Marriotts Ridge (9-6)	MD 1A	81.0		L	7-	9		-0.100
4/22	RIVER HILL (6-8)	MD 3A	78.6		L	12-	14	ot	-0.250
4/25	OAKLAND MILLS (2-11)	MD 1A	71.8		W	13-	7		0.050
4/29	MT. HEBRON (12-5)	MD 3A	90.0	5	L	6-	27		0.000
4/30	at Mount de Sales (8-10)	MD IAAM A	86.2		L	6-	12		-0.025
5/02	at Hammond (2-9)	MD 2A	73.7			-
5/08	HAMMOND (2-9)	MD 2A	73.7		W	15-	10		0.050
5/12	at Reservoir (10-5)	MD 2A	80.1		L	10-	11	2ot	-0.175
			80.5						-0.68

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	Seton Keough	10-	12	-2	-4	+	-0.77		2.08
4/01	A	Centennial, MD	6-	17	-11	-9		0.99	-1.82
4/08	H	Howard	14-	3	11	7	++	-0.99	4.20
4/11	A	Glenelg HS	3-	19	-16	-17		0.99	0.71
4/15	A	Reservoir	10-	11	-1	-3		0.99	1.93
4/17	H	Wilde Lake	21-	11	10	8	+	-0.99	2.42
4/18	A	Marriotts Ridge	7-	9	-2	-6	++	0.99	4.03
4/22	H	River Hill	12-	14	-2	0		-0.99	-1.62
4/25	H	Oakland Mills	13-	7	6	8	–	-0.99	-2.04
4/29	H	Mt. Hebron	6-	27	-21	-14	–––	-0.99	-7.13
4/30	A	Mount de Sales	6-	12	-6	-9	+	0.77		3.29
5/08	H	Hammond	15-	10	5	8	–	-0.99	-2.62
5/12	A	Reservoir	10-	11	-1	-3		0.99	1.93
									0.00	5.37

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	A	Centennial, MD	6-	17	1.00
4/08	H	Howard	14-	3	-1.00
4/11	A	Glenelg HS	3-	19	-0.71
4/17	H	Wilde Lake	21-	11	0.00
4/29	H	Mt. Hebron	6-	27	7.13
10-goal correction: 0.49

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	426
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.64		Natl Power Rank	426
Natl SOS Rating	77.51		Natl SOS Rank	147
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.68		Natl Quality Win Rank	2046
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	1471
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-18.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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