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Averill Park Warriors (12-7)

Conference: ARegion: NY B Sec 2State: NYCoach: Scott Reynolds

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/01at Colonie (3-10)NY A Sec 273.4W14- 8 0.125  
4/07SHENENDEHOWA (6-12)NY A Sec 274.79W12- 4 0.200  
4/09COLUMBIA, NY (5-7)NY A Sec 274.410L5- 62ot-0.350  
4/11at Burnt Hills-Ballston L (4-14)NY B Sec 272.6W15- 2 0.075  
4/12SCHUYLERVILLE (3-7)NY C Sec 267.9W18- 6 0.000  
4/14at Shaker (16-5)NY A Sec 284.32L4-15 -0.050  
4/16BALLSTON SPA (1-12)NY A Sec 266.8W15- 4 0.000  
4/22COLONIE (3-10)NY A Sec 273.4W17-10 0.075  
4/24at Emma Willard (13-5)NY C Sec 274.78W15- 7 0.200  
4/25at South Glens Falls (1-8)NY B Sec 266.4W17- 9 0.000  
4/28SARATOGA SPRINGS (10-8)NY A Sec 281.14L5-13 -0.100  
4/30at Columbia, NY (5-7)NY A Sec 274.410W9- 7 0.200  
5/02at Guilderland (22-1)NY A Sec 289.91L2-18 0.000  
5/05BURNT HILLS-BALLSTON L (4-14)NY B Sec 272.6W11- 2 0.025  
5/07BETHLEHEM (9-9)NY A Sec 280.95L10-11 -0.125  
5/09at Ballston Spa (1-12)NY A Sec 266.8W16- 8 0.000  
5/12at Niskayuna (15-6)NY B Sec 283.33L6-16 -0.025  
5/22SCOTIA-GLENVILLE (6-5)NY B Sec 274.2W16- 6 0.150  
5/28vs. Niskayuna # (15-6)NY B Sec 283.33L3-13 -0.075  
# Neutral site 73.5     0.32  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01AColonie14-86   5       1.03       1.34
4/07HShenendehowa12-48   2       +++-1.03       6.29
4/09HColumbia, NY5-6-1   4       ––-1.03       -4.61
4/11ABurnt Hills-Ballston L15-213   7       ++1.03       5.95
4/12HSchuylerville18-612   15       –-1.03       -3.13
4/14AShaker4-15-11   -8       –1.03       -2.64
4/16HBallston Spa15-411   14       –-1.03       -3.17
4/22HColonie17-107   7       -1.03       0.29
4/24AEmma Willard15-78   2       +++1.03       6.14
4/25ASouth Glens Falls17-98   13       ––1.03       -5.01
4/28HSaratoga Springs5-13-8   -6       –-1.03       -2.10
4/30AColumbia, NY9-72   2       1.03       0.44
5/02AGuilderland2-18-16   -15       1.03       -1.05
5/05HBurnt Hills-Ballston L11-29   9       -1.03       -0.10
5/07HBethlehem10-11-1   -5       +-1.03       3.94
5/09ABallston Spa16-88   12       ––1.03       -4.11
5/12ANiskayuna6-16-10   -9       1.03       -1.48
5/22HScotia-Glenville16-610   4       ++-1.03       5.53
5/28NNiskayuna3-13-10   -7       –0.00       -2.51
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/11ABurnt Hills-Ballston L15-2-3.00
4/12HSchuylerville18-63.13
4/14AShaker4-151.00
4/16HBallston Spa15-43.17
5/02AGuilderland2-181.05
5/12ANiskayuna6-160.00
5/22HScotia-Glenville16-60.00
5/28NNiskayuna3-130.00
10-goal correction: 0.28

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 77.   Natl CCR Rank 456
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 76.85   Natl Power Rank 456
Natl SOS Rating 65.64   Natl SOS Rank 695
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.32   Natl Quality Win Rank 613
W-L Pct Rating 0.63   W-L Pct Rank 659
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 12-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -9.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-7   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.9
Wins/Losses (top 20) 10-7   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.3



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