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Avon Falcons (10-4)

Region: CT Div 1

State: CT

Coach: Laura Campbell

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	at Simsbury (5-8)	CT Div 1	72.9		W	10-	7		0.100
4/10	at Somers, CT (2-14)	CT Div 1	67.5		W	19-	7		0.000
4/15	GRANBY MEMORIAL (10-7)	CT Div 1	72.1		W	16-	5		0.000
5/03	at Ellington (8-9)	CT Div 2	70.7		W	15-	6		0.025
5/05	at Suffield HS (17-3)	CT Div 2	77.8		L	13-	18		-0.275
5/06	SOMERS, CT (2-14)	CT Div 1	67.5		W	15-	3		0.000
5/07	at Granby Memorial (10-7)	CT Div 1	72.1		W	17-	7		0.025
5/12	GLASTONBURY (14-3)	CT Div 1	82.0	6	L	10-	16		-0.175
5/13	ELLINGTON (8-9)	CT Div 2	70.7		W	16-	1		0.000
5/15	at Stonington (9-8)	CT Div 2	71.2		W	19-	5		0.000
5/19	STONINGTON (9-8)	CT Div 2	71.2		W	13-	6		0.000
5/20	at Hall, West Hartford (16-1)	CT Div 1	82.3	5	L	11-	12		-0.100
5/22	SUFFIELD HS (17-3)	CT Div 2	77.8		W	11-	5		0.200
5/31	at Wilton (18-4)	CT Div 1	84.2	2	L	9-	20		-0.050
			70.3						-0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	A	Simsbury	10-	7	3	6	–	0.81	-3.14
4/10	A	Somers, CT	19-	7	12	10		0.81	1.55
4/15	H	Granby Memorial	16-	5	11	10		-0.81	0.70
5/03	A	Ellington	15-	6	9	9		0.81	-0.32
5/05	A	Suffield HS	13-	18	-5	1	––	0.81	-5.55
5/06	H	Somers, CT	15-	3	12	12		-0.81	-0.07
5/07	A	Granby Memorial	17-	7	10	9		0.81	1.31
5/12	H	Glastonbury	10-	16	-6	-3	–	-0.81	-2.78
5/13	H	Ellington	16-	1	15	11	++	-0.81	4.06
5/15	A	Stonington	19-	5	14	10	+	0.81	3.67
5/19	H	Stonington	13-	6	7	12	––	-0.81	-4.94
5/20	A	Hall, West Hartford	11-	12	-1	-6	++	0.81	4.54
5/22	H	Suffield HS	11-	5	6	2	+	-0.81	3.83
5/31	A	Wilton	9-	20	-11	-8	–	0.81	-2.86
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	Somers, CT	19-	7	-1.55
4/15	H	Granby Memorial	16-	5	-0.70
5/06	H	Somers, CT	15-	3	0.07
5/07	A	Granby Memorial	17-	7	0.00
5/13	H	Ellington	16-	1	-4.06
5/15	A	Stonington	19-	5	-3.67
5/31	A	Wilton	9-	20	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.64

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	342
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.19		Natl Power Rank	342
Natl SOS Rating	59.97		Natl SOS Rank	1140
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	1542
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	419
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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