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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Avon Grove Red Devils (11-8)

Region: PA CML-NState: PACoach: Lisa Schweiger

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/25STRATH HAVEN (18-4)PA Centrl89.27L6-20 -0.125  
3/27at Downingtown West (20-3)PA CML-N89.86L10-24 -0.025  
3/28GARNET VALLEY (4-14)PA Indep77.0W18- 4 0.000  
4/01BISHOP SHANAHAN (7-11)PA CML-N79.2W21-10 0.000  
4/02at Kennett (4-12)PA CML-A78.4W14- 6 0.075  
4/04at Unionville (12-8)PA CML-A87.5L9-16 -0.075  
4/08at Coatesville (0-16)PA CML-N74.0W18- 7 0.000  
4/10WEST CHESTER EAST (4-15)PA CML-N79.0W17- 3 0.050  
4/15at Downingtown East (16-5)PA CML-N87.7L6-12 -0.125  
4/17at West Chester Henderson (7-13)PA CML-N81.4W11- 8 0.225  
4/22DOWNINGTOWN WEST (20-3)PA CML-N89.86L14-23 -0.100  
4/24at Bishop Shanahan (7-11)PA CML-N79.2W17-12 0.075  
4/25WEST CHESTER RUSTIN (17-3)PA CML-A90.73L14-17 -0.100  
5/01COATESVILLE (0-16)PA CML-N74.0W18- 2 0.000  
5/05at West Chester East (4-15)PA CML-N79.0W22-14 0.150  
5/08DOWNINGTOWN EAST (16-5)PA CML-N87.7L11-17 -0.200  
5/10SUN VALLEY (11-8)PA DelVal79.0W24- 9 0.000  
5/13WEST CHESTER HENDERSON (7-13)PA CML-N81.4W19-11 0.125  
5/22at West Chester Rustin (17-3)PA CML-A90.73L11-21 0.000  
 77.9     -0.05  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/25HStrath Haven6-20-14   -5       –––-1.65       -8.75
3/27ADowningtown West10-24-14   -9       ––1.65       -4.91
3/28HGarnet Valley18-414   11       +-1.65       2.52
4/01HBishop Shanahan21-1011   10       -1.65       0.80
4/02AKennett14-68   7       1.65       1.14
4/04AUnionville9-16-7   -7       1.65       -0.08
4/08ACoatesville18-711   14       –1.65       -2.72
4/10HWest Chester East17-314   8       +++-1.65       6.32
4/15ADowningtown East6-12-6   -5       1.65       -0.65
4/17AWest Chester Henderson11-83   1       1.65       1.69
4/22HDowningtown West14-23-9   -6       –-1.65       -3.22
4/24ABishop Shanahan17-125   7       1.65       -1.90
4/25HWest Chester Rustin14-17-3   -6       +-1.65       3.42
5/01HCoatesville18-216   17       -1.65       -1.03
5/05AWest Chester East22-148   4       +1.65       3.62
5/08HDowningtown East11-17-6   -2       –-1.65       -3.95
5/10HSun Valley24-915   10       ++-1.65       4.59
5/13HWest Chester Henderson19-118   5       +-1.65       3.39
5/22AWest Chester Rustin11-21-10   -10       1.65       -0.28
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/25HStrath Haven6-204.00
3/27ADowningtown West10-244.00
3/28HGarnet Valley18-4-2.52
4/01HBishop Shanahan21-10-0.80
4/08ACoatesville18-72.72
4/10HWest Chester East17-3-4.00
5/01HCoatesville18-21.03
5/10HSun Valley24-9-4.59
5/22AWest Chester Rustin11-210.00
10-goal correction: -0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 85.   Natl CCR Rank 108
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 84.92   Natl Power Rank 108
Natl SOS Rating 72.58   Natl SOS Rank 311
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.05   Natl Quality Win Rank 1232
W-L Pct Rating 0.58   W-L Pct Rank 806
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -8.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.3

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