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Baltimore Lutheran Saints (16-3)

Region: MD IAAM C

State: MD

Coach: Rebecca Jabs

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/17	CHAPELGATE CHRISTIAN (9-9)	MD IAAM B	73.7		W	14-	8		0.125
3/19	at Towson Catholic (2-12)	MD IAAM C	62.0	6	W	15-	5		0.000
3/26	CATHOLIC HIGH, BALTIMO (11-4)	MD IAAM C	73.0	3	W	13-	4		0.100
3/28	at Beth T'Filoh (5-8)	MD IAAM C	66.9	5	W	13-	1		0.050
3/31	KEY SCHOOL (8-10)	MD IAAM C	68.1	4	W	14-	3		0.050
4/02	ST. VINCENT PALLOTTI (13-4)	MD IAAM C	75.9	2	W	13-	9		0.225
4/04	at Mount Carmel, MD (1-18)	MD IAAM C	58.9	7	W	16-	1		0.000
4/07	at Sparrows Point (4-9)	MD 1A	71.5		W	17-	10		0.150
4/09	at Sts. Peter & Paul (12-4)	MD EESIAC	82.4		L	12-	19		-0.075
4/11	TOWSON CATHOLIC (2-12)	MD IAAM C	62.0	6	W	12-	5		0.000
4/14	at Catholic High, Baltimo (11-4)	MD IAAM C	73.0	3	W	15-	7		0.175
4/16	BETH T'FILOH (5-8)	MD IAAM C	66.9	5	W	14-	6		0.000
4/18	at Key School (8-10)	MD IAAM C	68.1	4	L	15-	16		-0.400
4/23	at St. Vincent Pallotti (13-4)	MD IAAM C	75.9	2	W	12-	11		0.300
4/25	MOUNT CARMEL, MD (1-18)	MD IAAM C	58.9	7	W	18-	2		0.000
4/29	at Towson Catholic (2-12)	MD IAAM C	62.0	6	W	15-	5		0.000
4/30	at Glenelg Country School (4-14)	MD IAAM B	71.4		W	13-	10		0.125
5/08	KEY SCHOOL (8-10)	MD IAAM C	68.1	4	W	19-	2		0.050
5/10	vs. St. Vincent Pallotti # (13-4)	MD IAAM C	75.9	2	L	10-	12		-0.250
# Neutral site			69.5						0.63

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/17	H	Chapelgate Christian	14-	8	6	5		-1.09		1.44
3/19	A	Towson Catholic	15-	5	10	12	–	1.48	-2.41
3/26	H	Catholic High, Baltimo	13-	4	9	6	+	-1.48	3.38
3/28	A	Beth T'Filoh	13-	1	12	8	+	1.48	3.93
3/31	H	Key School	14-	3	11	8	+	-1.48	2.53
4/02	H	St. Vincent Pallotti	13-	9	4	1	+	-1.48	3.01
4/04	A	Mount Carmel, MD	16-	1	15	17		1.48	-1.76
4/07	A	Sparrows Point	17-	10	7	4	+	1.23		2.55
4/09	A	Sts. Peter & Paul	12-	19	-7	-7		1.87		0.10
4/11	H	Towson Catholic	12-	5	7	15	–––	-1.48	-8.36
4/14	A	Catholic High, Baltimo	15-	7	8	3	++	1.48	5.33
4/16	H	Beth T'Filoh	14-	6	8	11	–	-1.48	-3.02
4/18	A	Key School	15-	16	-1	6	–––	1.48	-6.51
4/23	A	St. Vincent Pallotti	12-	11	1	-2	+	1.48	2.97
4/25	H	Mount Carmel, MD	18-	2	16	20	–	-1.48	-3.71
4/29	A	Towson Catholic	15-	5	10	12	–	1.48	-2.41
4/30	A	Glenelg Country School	13-	10	3	5		1.09		-1.69
5/08	H	Key School	19-	2	17	8	+++	-1.48	8.53
5/10	N	St. Vincent Pallotti	10-	12	-2	0		0.00	-1.51
									0.00	2.40

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/19	A	Towson Catholic	15-	5	2.41
3/28	A	Beth T'Filoh	13-	1	-2.00
3/31	H	Key School	14-	3	-1.00
4/04	A	Mount Carmel, MD	16-	1	1.76
4/25	H	Mount Carmel, MD	18-	2	3.71
4/29	A	Towson Catholic	15-	5	2.41
5/08	H	Key School	19-	2	-7.00
10-goal correction: 0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	438
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.20		Natl Power Rank	438
Natl SOS Rating	58.85		Natl SOS Rank	1224
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.63		Natl Quality Win Rank	331
W-L Pct Rating	0.84		W-L Pct Rank	154
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	8-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	6.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	13-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	8.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	13-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	8.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.0


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