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Baldwin SG Bears (13-6)

Region: PA IAC

State: PA

Coach: Finck/Simone

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	vs. Tappan Zee # (0-15)	NY B Sec 1	71.0		W	15-	5		0.000
3/26	vs. Calverton School # (10-8)	MD CALL	66.4		W	18-	0		0.000
3/28	vs. Holy Cross, MD # (8-9)	DC WCAC	83.2		W	12-	11		0.200
3/28	vs. Mullen # (9-6)	CO Centen	78.2		W	10-	7		0.075
4/01	at Agnes Irwin (3-10)	PA IAC	81.5		W	10-	9		0.250
4/08	at William Penn Charter (10-6)	PA IAC	85.2		L	14-	15		-0.225
4/11	at Springside School (6-11)	PA IAC	80.1		W	16-	8		0.175
4/12	at Germantown Friends (11-7)	PA Friend	79.1		W	12-	9		0.050
4/16	at Acad of the New Church (3-6)	PA Friend	75.2		W	13-	1		0.000
4/17	at Germantown Academy (12-8)	PA IAC	85.2		W	19-	18		0.325
4/22	at Notre Dame Acad, PA (14-6)	PA IAC	85.4		L	13-	19		-0.175
4/25	at Agnes Irwin (3-10)	PA IAC	81.5		W	14-	8		0.250
4/26	vs. Plymouth-Whitemarsh # (4-13)	PA Sub A	77.2		W	10-	6		0.025
4/29	at Episcopal Academy, PA (16-4)	PA IAC	87.8	10	W	17-	16		0.400
5/02	at William Penn Charter (10-6)	PA IAC	85.2		L	11-	13		-0.225
5/06	at Springside School (6-11)	PA IAC	80.1		W	13-	12		0.175
5/08	at Notre Dame Acad, PA (14-6)	PA IAC	85.4		L	10-	11	ot	-0.175
5/13	at Germantown Academy (12-8)	PA IAC	85.2		L	11-	13		-0.175
5/15	at Episcopal Academy, PA (16-4)	PA IAC	87.8	10	L	11-	24		-0.100
# Neutral site			76.8						0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	N	Tappan Zee	15-	5	10	15	––	0.00		-4.65
3/26	N	Calverton School	18-	0	18	19		0.00		-1.23
3/28	N	Holy Cross, MD	12-	11	1	2		0.00		-1.42
3/28	N	Mullen	10-	7	3	7	––	0.00		-4.41
4/01	A	Agnes Irwin	10-	9	1	0		1.65	0.51
4/08	A	William Penn Charter	14-	15	-1	-1		1.65	-0.19
4/11	A	Springside School	16-	8	8	3	++	1.65	4.86
4/12	A	Germantown Friends	12-	9	3	8	––	1.65	-4.51
4/16	A	Acad of the New Church	13-	1	12	14	–	1.65	-2.23
4/17	A	Germantown Academy	19-	18	1	-3	++	1.65	4.37
4/22	A	Notre Dame Acad, PA	13-	19	-6	-3	–	1.65	-3.43
4/25	A	Agnes Irwin	14-	8	6	0	++	1.65	5.51
4/26	N	Plymouth-Whitemarsh	10-	6	4	9	––	0.00	-5.19
4/29	A	Episcopal Academy, PA	17-	16	1	-6	+++	1.65	7.34
5/02	A	William Penn Charter	11-	13	-2	-1		1.65	-1.19
5/06	A	Springside School	13-	12	1	3	–	1.65	-2.14
5/08	A	Notre Dame Acad, PA	10-	11	-1	-3		1.65	1.57
5/13	A	Germantown Academy	11-	13	-2	-3		1.65	1.37
5/15	A	Episcopal Academy, PA	11-	24	-13	-6	–––	1.65	-6.66
									0.00	-11.72

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/25	N	Tappan Zee	15-	5	4.65
3/26	N	Calverton School	18-	0	1.23
4/16	A	Acad of the New Church	13-	1	2.23
5/15	A	Episcopal Academy, PA	11-	24	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.58

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	96
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.62		Natl Power Rank	96
Natl SOS Rating	70.38		Natl SOS Rank	421
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	241
W-L Pct Rating	0.68		W-L Pct Rank	514
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3


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