High School Computer Ratings

Bartram Trail Bears (14-3)

Region: FL Dist 2

State: FL

Coach: Matt Ragland

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
2/06	FLEMING ISLAND (14-3)	FL Dist 1	68.4		W	11-	3	0.000
2/07	at Lake Brantley (18-4)	FL Dist 4	80.7	3	L	8-	16	-0.125
2/14	MENENDEZ (1-8)	FL Dist 2	53.7		W	19-	1	0.000
2/15	LAKE HIGHLAND PREP (11-6)	FL Dist 6	73.8		W	9-	7	0.200
2/20	at Nease (13-5)	FL Dist 2	76.5	8	W	11-	9	0.300
2/21	at Fletcher (10-5)	FL Dist 1	63.4		W	19-	4	0.000
2/25	FLAGLER PALM COAST (8-8)	FL Dist 2	67.0		W	19-	3	0.000
3/05	MATANZAS (0-9)	FL Dist 2	52.3		W	22-	2	0.000
3/08	vs. Oviedo # (14-8)	FL Dist 3	75.7	9	W	12-	11	0.250
3/08	vs. Wellington, FL # (10-7)	FL Dist 10	72.8		W	8-	5	0.200
3/12	BISHOP MOORE (4-11)	FL Dist 5	65.4		W	17-	5	0.000
3/14	at Mandarin (9-3)	FL Dist 2	66.2		W	17-	4	0.000
3/18	NEASE (13-5)	FL Dist 2	76.5	8	L	8-	10	-0.300
3/28	vs. Benet Academy # (4-13)	IL SW Sub	60.6		W	16-	6	0.000
3/28	LAKE MARY (8-8)	FL Dist 4	71.6		W	15-	4	0.150
3/31	vs. Flagler Palm Coast # (8-8)	FL Dist 2	67.0		W	20-	4	0.000
4/02	vs. Nease # (13-5)	FL Dist 2	76.5	8	L	9-	10	-0.250
# Neutral site			69.9					0.42

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/06	H	Fleming Island	11-	3	8	12	–	-1.78	-3.70
2/07	A	Lake Brantley	8-	16	-8	-5	–	1.78	-2.89
2/14	H	Menendez	19-	1	18	23	––	-1.78	-4.63
2/15	H	Lake Highland Prep	9-	7	2	2		-1.78	-0.16
2/20	A	Nease	11-	9	2	-2	+	1.78	3.73
2/21	A	Fletcher	19-	4	15	15		1.78	-0.22
2/25	H	Flagler Palm Coast	19-	3	16	13	+	-1.78	3.21
3/05	H	Matanzas	22-	2	20	24	––	-1.78	-4.22
3/08	N	Oviedo	12-	11	1	0		0.00	0.86
3/08	N	Wellington, FL	8-	5	3	2		0.00	1.14
3/12	H	Bishop Moore	17-	5	12	14		-1.78	-1.98
3/14	A	Mandarin	17-	4	13	12		1.78	1.44
3/18	H	Nease	8-	10	-2	2	–	-1.78	-3.83
3/28	N	Benet Academy	16-	6	10	16	–––	0.00		-6.24
3/28	H	Lake Mary	15-	4	11	4	+++	-1.78	7.31
3/31	N	Flagler Palm Coast	20-	4	16	11	++	0.00	4.99
4/02	N	Nease	9-	10	-1	0		0.00	-1.05
									0.00	-6.24