| Region: VA NW AAA | State: VA | Coach: Tony Kilgore |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/24 | A | Lake Braddock | 6- | 11 | -5 | -4 | | 2.28 | -1.21 | |
3/25 | H | Potomac HS | 12- | 4 | 8 | 10 | | -2.28 | -1.56 | |
3/27 | A | C.D. Hylton | 14- | 6 | 8 | 5 | + | 2.28 | 2.66 | |
3/28 | H | Gar-Field | 15- | 4 | 11 | 18 | ––– | -2.28 | -6.78 | |
4/08 | A | Notre Dame Acad, VA | 7- | 5 | 2 | 6 | –– | 2.28 | -4.30 | |
4/14 | A | Fauquier | 16- | 2 | 14 | 4 | +++ | 2.28 | 9.55 | |
4/16 | A | Forest Park | 11- | 7 | 4 | 2 | | 2.28 | 1.82 | |
4/17 | H | Culpeper County | 15- | 5 | 10 | 9 | | -2.28 | 1.14 | |
4/23 | A | Loudoun Valley | 2- | 20 | -18 | -11 | ––– | 2.28 | -7.01 | |
4/29 | H | Liberty-Bealton, VA | 19- | 8 | 11 | 6 | ++ | -2.28 | 4.75 | |
5/01 | A | Osbourn HS | 12- | 5 | 7 | 2 | ++ | 2.28 | 4.99 | |
5/02 | H | Stonewall Jackson | 14- | 2 | 12 | 16 | – | -2.28 | -3.88 | |
5/05 | H | Osbourn Park | 16- | 6 | 10 | 7 | + | -2.28 | 2.76 | |
5/06 | H | Stonewall Jackson | 12- | 0 | 12 | 16 | – | -2.28 | -3.88 | |
5/08 | H | Culpeper County | 19- | 5 | 14 | 9 | ++ | -2.28 | 5.14 | |
5/14 | N | Osbourn Park | 16- | 11 | 5 | 5 | | 0.00 | 0.04 | |
5/15 | N | Loudoun Valley | 7- | 18 | -11 | -9 | – | 0.00 | -2.29 | |
5/21 | A | Albemarle | 4- | 19 | -15 | -13 | | 2.28 | -1.95 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/28 | H | Gar-Field | 15- | 4 | 6.78 |
4/14 | A | Fauquier | 16- | 2 | -4.00 |
4/17 | H | Culpeper County | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
4/23 | A | Loudoun Valley | 2- | 20 | 7.01 |
4/29 | H | Liberty-Bealton, VA | 19- | 8 | -1.00 |
5/02 | H | Stonewall Jackson | 14- | 2 | 3.88 |
5/05 | H | Osbourn Park | 16- | 6 | 0.00 |
5/06 | H | Stonewall Jackson | 12- | 0 | 3.88 |
5/08 | H | Culpeper County | 19- | 5 | -4.00 |
5/15 | N | Loudoun Valley | 7- | 18 | 1.00 |
5/21 | A | Albemarle | 4- | 19 | 1.95 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.86 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 74. | | Natl CCR Rank | 680 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 73.91 | | Natl Power Rank | 680 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 60.08 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1128 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.95 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 177 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.78 | | W-L Pct Rank | 281 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -15.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -14.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -14.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -7.0 |
|
