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Bethesda-Chevy Chase Barons (9-4)

Region: MD 3A

State: MD

Coach: Claire Wagner

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	QUINCE ORCHARD (12-2)	MD 4A	80.5		L	2-	12		-0.275
4/04	at National Cathedral, DC (7-6)	DC ISL A	79.6		L	4-	17		-0.200
4/09	at Walt Whitman, MD (2-11)	MD 4A	71.3		W	15-	6		0.050
4/11	at Wootton (15-1)	MD 4A	82.1		L	8-	12		-0.175
4/15	MAGRUDER (1-9)	MD 4A	69.2		W	17-	6		0.000
4/17	at Richard Montgomery (3-7)	MD 4A	71.4		W	18-	2		0.000
4/19	CHURCHILL (8-7)	MD 4A	75.6		W	19-	14		0.075
4/23	at Walter Johnson (8-6)	MD 4A	75.3		W	17-	11		0.125
4/25	POOLESVILLE (12-2)	MD 1A	77.0		W	19-	8		0.100
5/02	at Paint Branch (6-5)	MD 3A	73.6		W	17-	8		0.025
5/05	ROCKVILLE (6-8)	MD 2A	70.3		W	19-	3		0.000
5/10	at Montgomery Blair, MD (9-4)	MD 4A	75.8		W	16-	5		0.100
5/13	at Wootton (15-1)	MD 4A	82.1		L	9-	15		-0.175
			74.1						-0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Quince Orchard	2-	12	-10	1	–––	-0.99	11.27
4/04	A	National Cathedral, DC	4-	17	-13	-2	–––	1.52		10.62
4/09	A	Walt Whitman, MD	15-	6	9	8		0.99	1.30
4/11	A	Wootton	8-	12	-4	-3		0.99	-1.48
4/15	H	Magruder	17-	6	11	13	–	-0.99	-2.33
4/17	A	Richard Montgomery	18-	2	16	10	+++	0.99	6.26
4/19	H	Churchill	19-	14	5	7		-0.99	-1.83
4/23	A	Walter Johnson	17-	11	6	5		0.99	0.59
4/25	H	Poolesville	19-	8	11	6	++	-0.99	4.93
5/02	A	Paint Branch	17-	8	9	9		0.99	0.44
5/05	H	Rockville	19-	3	16	14		-0.99	1.89
5/10	A	Montgomery Blair, MD	16-	5	11	6	++	0.99	4.98
5/13	A	Wootton	9-	15	-6	-3	–	0.99	-3.48
									0.00	-10.62

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	H	Quince Orchard	2-	12	0.00
4/04	A	National Cathedral, DC	4-	17	3.00
4/15	H	Magruder	17-	6	2.33
4/17	A	Richard Montgomery	18-	2	-6.26
4/25	H	Poolesville	19-	8	-1.00
5/05	H	Rockville	19-	3	-1.89
5/10	A	Montgomery Blair, MD	16-	5	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	332
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.75		Natl Power Rank	332
Natl SOS Rating	66.15		Natl SOS Rank	652
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	1684
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	487
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.0


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